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re: The point spread just doesn't seem right?

Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

How are we only 18.5 favorites against Auburn?


I'm worried we won't cover that, and you're thinking it's too low? I never thought I would see us favored by this much AT Auburn.
Posted by obsessedgator
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2004
516 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:12 pm to
LSU @ UF

I will say the line will be 4-6 for LSU
Posted by Commando
Never Never Land
Member since Jan 2009
2810 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:22 pm to
Posted by fastedLSU
BR
Member since Sep 2007
4477 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:30 pm to
If you've been betting for years with that line of thinking you must be losing a lot. Anything over 20 would invite a lots of wagers on AU @ home.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 12:33 pm
Posted by Sits With Squirrels
Forward Unto Dawn
Member since Jul 2012
1257 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

Anything over 20 would invite a lots of wagers on AU @ home.


Sportsbook is at 20.5
Posted by fastedLSU
BR
Member since Sep 2007
4477 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:41 pm to
You are correct. Opening lines tell 90% of the story, not where they are pushed to.
Posted by redfieldk717
Alec Box
Member since Oct 2011
28117 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

You are correct. Opening lines tell 90% of the story, not where they are pushed to.


this

you think we cover? i got em at 17.5 on 5dimes
Posted by fastedLSU
BR
Member since Sep 2007
4477 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:46 pm to
Yes, but I'd feel much more comfortable without the hook.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:48 pm to
I bought em down .5 point on Sportsbook Sunday night for -17.

Posted by redfieldk717
Alec Box
Member since Oct 2011
28117 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 12:50 pm to
Posted by Wtxtiger
Gonzales la
Member since Feb 2011
7257 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 1:52 pm to
2000 LSU 17 Auburn 34 Auburn, AL
2001 LSU 27 Auburn 14 Baton Rouge, LA
2002 LSU 7 Auburn 31 Auburn, AL
2003 LSU 31 Auburn 7 Baton Rouge, LA
2004 LSU 9 Auburn 10 Auburn, AL
2005 LSU 20 Auburn 17 Baton Rouge, LA
2006 LSU 3 Auburn 7 Auburn, AL
2007 LSU 30 Auburn 24 Baton Rouge, LA
2008 LSU 26 Auburn 21 Auburn, AL
2009 LSU 31 Auburn 10 Baton Rouge, LA
2010 LSU 17 Auburn 24 Auburn, AL
2011 LSU 45 Auburn 10 Baton Rouge, LA

I was talking about playing at auburn. We have one once in the last five trips to their house.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

We have one once in the last five trips to their house.


Just curious, but do you really think whether or not we won games in 2000 and 2002 are relevant to the game this weekend??

Do you not think we have a better team, these days?

Do you not realize how bad Auburn is this year?

What happened last year is MUCH more relevant to this game than what happened more than a decade ago.
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 1:57 pm
Posted by Wtxtiger
Gonzales la
Member since Feb 2011
7257 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:09 pm to
Won not one. I phone won't let me change it.
Posted by Wtxtiger
Gonzales la
Member since Feb 2011
7257 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:11 pm to
I am very confident lsu will win. All I said is that they usually play us hard at home.
Posted by redfieldk717
Alec Box
Member since Oct 2011
28117 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:14 pm to
because they are normally pretty good...this year, not so much
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47159 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:18 pm to
Auburn is the 11th best team in the SEC.

LSU RUTS Auburn this weekend.

LSU
Alabama
South Carolina
Georgia
Florida
Tennessee
Mississippi State
Missouri
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Auburn
Vanderbilt
Kentucky
Ole Miss
This post was edited on 9/18/12 at 2:19 pm
Posted by BamaGround
Member since Dec 2010
551 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:41 pm to
That won't happen. The Bama game is in TS at night. The line for the Nov 3rd game will be just about like last year's Nov game and BCS game. Pick +/-2
Posted by purple passion
Feliciana Hills
Member since Nov 2006
666 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:57 pm to
I will GLADLY take a 7-10 pt win at any SEC school on the road. We have beat Aubie just ONCE in our last 6 games played there, by only 5 points. We have lost 5 times there, including a couple of blowouts.

LSU has played nobody yet this year, and all at home.

Auburn desperately needs to pull off the big upset. National TV, home, night game versus #2 LSU. They (and their fans) will be sky-high early.

They have not played great, but they are still more talented than anyone we have played thus far. At every position, our guys will have their toughest individual battles yet this year.

We have not yet had to deal with ANY real adversity, much less in hostile territory.

We may be entering a hornet's nest at Auburn, and if we let them get up early, we could have our first real gut-check in hostile territory. Nobody knows yet how this LSU team will respond to pressure.

I'll be very happy to see improved play, steady maturity and get out of there with a solid SEC road win.

Historically at least, 20 points is a very unrealistic spread, especially for an untested LSU team in its first SEC road rivalry of the season.

I believe we are MUCH more likely to have another typical LSU-Aubie squeaker decided in the 4th quarter, than to coast to an easy LSU 20-point blowout.

Hope we completely dominate and win big, but will be surprised if we do. Auburn will be very inspired and very tough, at least early on. We will have to demoralize them in the first half, or it could be another four quarter barn-burner.

Posted by SouljaBreauxTellEm
Mizz
Member since Aug 2009
29343 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Just curious, but do you really think whether or not we won games in 2000 and 2002 are relevant to the game this weekend?? Do you not think we have a better team, these days? Do you not realize how bad Auburn is this year? What happened last year is MUCH more relevant to this game than what happened more than a decade ago.


Trends are trends.. Why couldn't Matt Barkley beat Stanford in 4 years of trying? Surely they were vast improved going into it this year and Stanford was no where near as good as years past..
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15700 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

I'll take an 18 point win right now.
Absofricknlutely.
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