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The Bama offense in SEC games

Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:07 am
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10207 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:07 am
Thought this was interesting. Taking out all defensive/special teams points, just looking at the Bama offense.

27 points @ Ole Miss
27 points vs. Kentucky
35 points @ Arkansas
35 points @ Tennessee
27 points vs. Texas A&M

In those games, they are averaging 209 passing yards and 303 rushing yards. They are also turning the ball over 1.8 times per game.

If we can limit them to 150 passing (like Ole Miss and Tennessee did) and 200 rushing (like Kentucky did) and generate 2 turnovers, I think we can hold them to about 20 points.

Can our offense score 21?
This post was edited on 10/28/16 at 9:39 am
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59676 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:07 am to
yes
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3431 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:08 am to
Are you accounting for D/ST TDs?
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
83939 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:09 am to
Kiffin is a smart dude. It's going to be cool watching him and Aranda go at it.

But, yeah, I think we can score at least 28 on this team in our stadium. It just comes down to our o-line. They have been the weakest link during Alabama's winning streak over us.
Posted by LZ83
La
Member since Sep 2016
17406 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Taking out all defensive/special teams points, just looking at the Bama offense.


Just read man.
Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3431 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:22 am to



my bad. I was scanning it pretty quick. Thank you for the head check.

Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Just read man.
what I'd like to know is if he took out all the defensive/special teams points and just looked at the Bama offense. someone should do a post like that.
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:26 am to
You should also take into account their TOP and at what time they score most of their points. I believe they score more in the 4th quarter because of a high TOP because of their defense.
Posted by LZ83
La
Member since Sep 2016
17406 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:35 am to
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:35 am to
27 points @ Ole Miss

vs P5 teams, Ole Miss gives up an average of 35.8 points per game

27 points vs. Kentucky

28 points per game

35 points @ Arkansas

43.6 points per game

35 points @ Tennessee

35.4 points per game

27 points vs. Texas A&M

24.7 points per game

so really bama hasn't done anything special vs these teams, and in fact have done slightly worse than the average, against 5 of the 7 worst SEC defenses when it comes to giving up TDs

Posted by Cracking
Northshore
Member since Aug 2006
3431 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:41 am to
Unfortunately the scoring numbers against the averages are improving as the season goes. This is a sign of good coaching and a maturing team. Hopefully they are overconfident, but Saban's trademark is play every play with perfection and effort which limits the effect of mistakes in big games.

I do think LSU matches up well against their offense, and will limit them to around 20 points offensively which is better than LSU's average but enough to win if the Tiger offense can find some success.

Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 9:46 am to
quote:

I do think LSU matches up well against their offense, and will limit them to around 20 points offensively which is better than LSU's average but enough to win if the Tiger offense can find some success.


I think our defense can score on their offense as well. However, if they score on our offense it'll be hard to win. This game wouldn't be so hard if their strength wasn't their ridiculous front 7. Take into account we are the best rushing team they will face off all season, but if we can't get it going in the passing game it's worthless imo.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 10:19 am to
quote:

This game wouldn't be so hard if their strength wasn't their ridiculous front 7.
as a reminder, this front 7 is not last years, 6 of the 7 starters we faced are gone. in fact, with safety (and SEC leading punt returner) Eddie Jackson breaking his leg last week, theres only 2 starters back from our game.

their rush numbers are still very good, but they've faced very soft and young lines so far, imo. TAM has a true freshman guard and center, both outside the top 1000 as recruits. shouldnt be a surprise that bama wrecked that.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36054 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 10:20 am to
quote:

Can our offense score 21?


The last time we scored 21 v Bama was when?
Posted by SBC
Member since Oct 2005
6868 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 10:23 am to
OP actually makes me more concerned. I don't know if we can score 28 of you assume they will get into the upper 20's
Posted by Blanky6715
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2014
4377 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 10:35 am to
Thank you master shake.

Our defense is top 3 in the SEC. Those teams are 8 and lower. I don't see them having as much success against our defense. Will be an interesting matchup no doubt. I believe it all depends on how we contain Hurts.
Posted by missloutiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2008
1132 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 10:38 am to
We cannot let them run the football
Posted by The Truth 34
Chavez Ravine
Member since May 2010
41170 posts
Posted on 10/28/16 at 10:47 am to
2010

A win in Tiger Stadium.
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