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re: NIT-Bound
Posted on 2/4/24 at 10:40 am to IsraelJones
Posted on 2/4/24 at 10:40 am to IsraelJones
quote:
got in the tournament and Vandy didn't
But...but...Vandy had one BAD loss late in the season, to LSU's worst team since Press Maravich's first season in 1966-67. That loss alone made Miss St a more attractive tournament choice than Vanderbilt
1
Posted on 2/4/24 at 10:51 am to tarzana
LSU only has 3 quad 1 chances left in uk Tenn and Bama with 2 of those at home
South Carolina is likely close to being a quad 1 if not already and that is on road.
Any talk of ncaa would have to mean winning most of those and taking care of business in other games which is a tall task.
South Carolina is likely close to being a quad 1 if not already and that is on road.
Any talk of ncaa would have to mean winning most of those and taking care of business in other games which is a tall task.
Posted on 2/4/24 at 11:12 am to nicholastiger
Realistically I can't see LSU winning any of their next 5 games.
@ Tenn- less than 10% chance
Alabama- less than 30% chance
@ Florida- less than 30% chance
@ S Car-- ?
Kentucky-- less than 30% chance
Kentucky isn't playing good basketball now, but their starting 5, and their bench are much more talented than LSU. Tigers really have to be in top form to beat an underachieving Kentucky team.
I don't know that much about S. Carolina. Are they really as good as their record indicates, or have opponents just underestimated them? I think that's what happened when KY went into the Cockpit and suffered a big loss. Maybe LSU might sneak up on the Cocks and return the favor.
@ Tenn- less than 10% chance
Alabama- less than 30% chance
@ Florida- less than 30% chance
@ S Car-- ?
Kentucky-- less than 30% chance
Kentucky isn't playing good basketball now, but their starting 5, and their bench are much more talented than LSU. Tigers really have to be in top form to beat an underachieving Kentucky team.
I don't know that much about S. Carolina. Are they really as good as their record indicates, or have opponents just underestimated them? I think that's what happened when KY went into the Cockpit and suffered a big loss. Maybe LSU might sneak up on the Cocks and return the favor.
Posted on 2/4/24 at 6:28 pm to tarzana
quote:I would say that since South Carolina has a 17 pt win over Kentucky at home, and just beat Tennessee in Knoxville last week, they're pretty damn good.
@ Tenn- less than 10% chance
Alabama- less than 30% chance
@ Florida- less than 30% chance
@ S Car-- ?
Kentucky-- less than 30% chance
Kentucky isn't playing good basketball now, but their starting 5, and their bench are much more talented than LSU. Tigers really have to be in top form to beat an underachieving Kentucky team.
I don't know that much about S. Carolina. Are they really as good as their record indicates, or have opponents just underestimated them? I think that's what happened when KY went into the Cockpit and suffered a big loss. Maybe LSU might sneak up on the Cocks and return the favor.
I think we have a better chance at home against Kentucky, and probably on the road at Florida too.
But you never know, we beat Wake Forest by 6, lost by 23 to Syracuse. Wake Forest just beat Syracuse by 29.
Posted on 2/4/24 at 11:36 pm to TigerProphet
?quien es "Lou Zerr"?
This post was edited on 2/4/24 at 11:37 pm
Posted on 2/5/24 at 9:01 am to nicholastiger
South Carolina is virtually guaranteed to be a quad 1. They're currently 38, and on the road, top 75 is a quad 1 game.
Posted on 2/5/24 at 9:12 am to TigerProphet
I don't think 16 wins gets us in the NIT, if we can get it up to 18 we will probably have a chance.
LSU's NET is pretty rough right now in the mid 90s.Probably trending towards the hundreds after the Tenn game. Will need to get it around the 70s for us to have a chance at the NIT imo.
LSU's NET is pretty rough right now in the mid 90s.Probably trending towards the hundreds after the Tenn game. Will need to get it around the 70s for us to have a chance at the NIT imo.
Posted on 2/5/24 at 9:21 am to Scoob
quote:
I would say that since South Carolina has a 17 pt win over Kentucky at home, and just beat Tennessee in Knoxville last week, they're pretty damn good.
South Carolina is one of those teams where their record is much better than the analytical numbers say it should be. They are 19-3. Yet they are only ranked 38 in NET and 44th on KenPom. And those numbers have their two big wins over Kentucky and Tennessee baked in.
To put the numbers in a bit of perspective, they are only ranked one spot ahead of Florida and three spots ahead of Wade Forest in NET. In KenPom they are ranked behind Mississippi St, and well behind teams like Florida and Wake Forest.
Their non-conf. schedule was pretty bad, and they lost to the only top 40 team they played (@ Clemson). In the SEC they've had a relatively favorable schedule. They've played two games against last place Missouri. Their road games have been @ Missouri, Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia. Alabama blasted them by nearly 30.
Give them credit though, they have won on the road and the win @ Tennessee is maybe the best win in the SEC of the season to date (only home loss this year for Tennessee). They thumped an up and down Kentucky team. The somewhat favorable schedule continues this week as they get Ole Miss and Vandy at home. After that, it gets tougher
If the Tournament stated today they would probably be a 7 or 8 seed. LSU will be an underdog there. Probably a 8, 9, 10 point dog. But USC (right now) is one of those teams that feels a little like fool's gold. You can't ignore the record. But the predictive data suggest the record is a bit of a misnomer
Posted on 2/5/24 at 9:46 am to Pnels08
Our net ranking will most likely go up a spot or two with a loss at Tennessee, and would jump double figures if we somehow sprung the upset which happens regularly in college basketball.
Posted on 2/5/24 at 10:48 am to tigahlovah
quote:
Our net ranking will most likely go up a spot or two with a loss at Tennessee,
Not if they curb stomp us like Alabama did, LSU has to keep that game close.
I think we were high 80s before that bama game and even after beating the hell out of arky we are still in the mid 90s.
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