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LSU at Bama (-13)

Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:10 am
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:10 am
Like taking candy from a baby.



LSU getting almost 11 points, Christmas will be awesome this year!







Line has moved up +2.5 points in just 14 hours.
61% is on Bama giving the points and rising
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 9:58 pm
Posted by evil cockroach
27.98N // 86.92E
Member since Nov 2007
7458 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:12 am to
quote:

LSU at Bama (-10.5)
about right
Posted by Restomod
Member since Mar 2012
13493 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:15 am to
funny how this game is always close but if you read the various Bama boards they feel it will be Bama by 25.
Posted by 3HourTour
A whiskey barrel
Member since Mar 2006
21223 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:23 am to
quote:

funny how this game is always close but if you read tigerdroppings they feel it will be Bama by 25.



FIFY
Posted by LordoftheManor
Member since Jul 2006
8371 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:25 am to
Free money.





Signed,

Positigers AND Negatigers
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 7:25 am
Posted by crankbait
Member since Feb 2008
11623 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:29 am to
From looking at our performance this season, I don't see how anyone can logically think we will easily cover that
Posted by evil cockroach
27.98N // 86.92E
Member since Nov 2007
7458 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:34 am to
quote:

From looking at our performance this season
LSU plays up and down to their competition. I can see it being close going into the 4th quarter, and Bama pulling away to win by 10-14 points.
Posted by theBeard
Member since Jul 2011
6739 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:40 am to
quote:

LSU getting almost 11 points, Christmas will be awesome this year!


exactly what vegas wants you to think. This is why they always come out on top. Look at the saints 76% of tickets this weekend were on the saints, and another 60% on the dallas. If you see one of these lines run the other way
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 7:44 am
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:50 am to
With it being 10.5 AORN that means 60%+ is on Alabama.



So running the other way using your logic I should sprint to the bank on LSU?
Posted by mytigger
Member since Jan 2008
14846 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Like taking candy from a baby


hmmm... trying to think of the last time someone stole from Vegas. Sounds like a sucker's bet to me. I think I'd take Bama and give LSU the points.
Posted by theBeard
Member since Jul 2011
6739 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:03 am to
quote:

So running the other way using your logic I should sprint to the bank on LSU?


nope, vegas is trying to make you think lsu is a sure play here to get equal numbers on each side. the public bet will be on lsu (thus bringing that number down) but the sharps will be all over bama. i would side with the sharps.
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:08 am to
The line will be moving all week. The lower the line the more confident I am. I see it closing around Bama -9
Posted by theBeard
Member since Jul 2011
6739 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:11 am to
quote:

I see it closing around Bama -9


if so, this is a huge value bet on bama.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:41 am to
quote:

nope, vegas is trying to make you think lsu is a sure play here to get equal numbers on each side. the public bet will be on lsu (thus bringing that number down) but the sharps will be all over bama. i would side with the sharps.


I don't agree with this assessment. I don't know what makes you think the public will be all over LSU. LSU is a 2 loss team and this game is being at Bama at night. Bama covers spreads in a lot of their games and they are undefeated right now. The public loves to bet Bama. I think the way the line is set is that their computers told them the spread should be less than 10, but Vegas knows that the public will still play Bama at less than 2 TDs. I don't think the public will even be close to being "all over LSU".

People on here? Maybe. General public? Very Doubtful.
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:43 am to
That's what Vegas wants you to think
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 10:28 am to
And as I predicted the spread has already moved from LSU +11 to LSU +11.5 and it's not even lunch on Monday. Your theory is definitely not holding true thus far.
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 11:13 am to
Most places have it at LSU +11. 75% might be on Bama.


And if you bet consistently you know what that means.
Posted by LSUfoosball
Member since Nov 2006
4425 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 11:14 am to
u cant be serious.....BAMA wins 35-21
Posted by navy
Parts Unknown, LA
Member since Sep 2010
29032 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 11:16 am to
Prominentwon has it as a pick'em.
Posted by Florida225
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
2833 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 11:16 am to
Put your money up then, I will be.
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