Lets assume...

The Big 12 implodes. (this I'm sure of)

Bama , Ohio State and Clemson win out.

(Although an Ohio State loss is very possible, in that scenario we need to hope it comes against a two loss Michigan squad and not a one loss Michigan State team but that is optimistic)

Heres my thoughts:

A) OK State

still has to play Iowa State, Baylor and Oklahoma. I could easily see them losing one of those. They beat a TCU team that has been overrated IMO. All they have shown us is a powerful offense, which lost their biggest threat for Boykin last weekend in Doctson. I see OK State dropping AT LEAST one before it is all said and done.

TCU is now a non-factor.

B) Baylor

Still has to play Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, TCU and Texas. If they win out with that schedule AND their second string quarterback-- they deserve the birth into the playoffs, but I don't see that happening.

Do any of you?
I see them dropping AT LEAST one.

C) Iowa...(seriously)

Iowa still plays Minnesota, Purdue and Nebraska...

They will probably go undefeated, however their infuriatingly weak strength of schedule has to play a factor in the committee's playoff decision. Their toughest tests were #19Wisconsin (which they won 10-6) and Northwestern (they beat the crap out of them 40-10 but still.. pretty weak)

If both Iowa and LSU get left out of the playoffs I could see this as our bowl game.

Do you guy's think it would be possible a one loss LSU jumps an undefeated Iowa to get in CFP?
I sure hope so.

D.) Standord / Notre Dame

I'm going to do these two together since they play each other to end the season. I think we should be more concerned with one of these two teams instead of any of the B12 teams. We obviously need both of these teams to have two losses at the end of the season. I see Stanford as the better candidate to drop one before their big showdown.

Stanford still plays Oregon, Cal and ND

They are very beatable. It took a missed 43 YD field goal in the last seconds to get past a very mediocre Washington State team. They COULD lose one of those games leading up to ND and then beat ND, which would be AMAZING for LSU , although it is unlikely. The best case is they lose to Oregon and beat ND.

Notre Dame

still plays Wake Forest, Boston College and Stanford.

They will also likely win out and face Stanford to decide the #4 spot-- barring a big letdown. I think they're better than Stanford and will probably win out and unfortunately secure the #4 spot (it doesn't hurt that the media LOVES ND).

Hopefully Stanford drops one before this showdown and beats ND so they'll both have two losses.

So in conclusion... I'm saying theres a chance! Obviously we HAVE to win out. Starting with the shake back this weekend. LF7 gets his Heisman campaign back on track and we beat Arkansas convincingly. The more media coverage LF7 gets when he goes for 150-200 YDS in the remaining games, the more pressure it will put on the committee to put the Tigers in the playoffs-- IMO.

Everyone would rather see a one loss LSU with the Heisman front runner in the playoffs instead of a boring, undefeated Iowa team whose biggest quality win came against a now afterthought Northwestern. The potential Alabama-LSU rematch/ Fournette's revenge game with Henry (Fournette and Henry will finish 1 and 2 in Heisman voting) will be marketable enough to push us over any other one loss teams. We need a lot of things to go our way.

I think the worst thing that could happen is Florida beat Bama in the SECCG.
I think the SEC would get left out completely in this scenario unless Florida got a bid, which would be crazy. Just my opinion though.

If Ohio State loses to a two loss Michigan team, but Michigan State beats Ohio State... I have no idea what would happen. I could see a one loss LSU team squeezing by a one loss Michigan State and Ohio State team, due to the fact that pretty much everyone see's Michigan State as above average (and lucky) but beatable team and sees Ohio State as benefactors of a very weak schedule-- which they have gone through pretty unimpressively we COULD jump them. It would be interesting to see how that would go down.

GEAUX TIGERS!

BRING ON THE MEHEM!