LSU (FPI favored in every game, none even that close)

FPI Rank: 2

Wisconsin (84.5%)
Jacksonville St (98.8%)
MSU (88.6%)
Auburn (71.2%)
Missouri (94.3%)
Florida (71.1%)
Southern Miss (98.2%)
Ole Miss (73.5%)
Alabama (65.7%)
Arkansas (77.2%)
South Alabama (99.5%)
Tex A&M (67.4%)

Chance of winning out: 5.3%
Chance of winning SEC: 32%
SOS Rank: 10

Tennessee (FPI favored in every game)

FPI Rank: 5

App St (95.1%)
Va Tech (87.7%)
Ohio (98.5%)
Florida (79.2%)
Georgia (55.8%)
Tex A&M (59.3%)
Alabama (58.9%)
South Carolina (88.7%)
Tennessee Tech (99.8%)
UK (93.8%)
Missouri (92.5%)
Vandy (85.9%)

Chance of winning out 4.5%
Chance of winning SEC 29.8%
SOS Rank: 35

Alabama (FPI favored in 10 of 12 games):

FPI Rank: 6

USC (64.3%)
WKU (94.1%)
Ole Miss (51.2%)
Kent St (98.8%)
UK (93.8%)
Ark (71.2%)
UT (41.1%)
Tex A&M (72.5%)
LSU (34.3% - damn, forfeit now?)
MSU (84.7%)
Chattanooga (99.0%)
AU (77.7%)

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Posted by GeismarGeauxer

Geismar

Member since Dec 2009

5176 posts

Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:26 pm to GermantownTiger

Screwed up program...subtract 20 from LSU vs bama, ole miss and ark.

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Posted by schwartzy

New Orleans

Member since May 2014

9033 posts

Posted on 7/6/16 at 1:26 pm to GermantownTiger

I wonder how Auburn's looked at this time last year. Not saying we are Auburn, but I don't put much stock in that. These games are tougher than they appear

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Posted by tgerb8

Huntsvegas

Member since Aug 2007

5995 posts

Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:00 pm to schwartzy

quote:
I wonder how Auburn's looked at this time last year. Not saying we are Auburn, but I don't put much stock in that. These games are tougher than they appear

I don't remember what all goes into FPI but I think it's usually a very good indicator.

FPI projected Auburn to go 7-6 last year.
They went 7-6.
2015 Auburn FPI

Although... After looking at it some more, it seems they update that "projected W-L" as the season progresses.....

This post was edited on 7/6/16 at 2:12 pm

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Posted by Hiphopanonymous

Baton rouge

Member since Jul 2014

2385 posts

Posted on 7/6/16 at 2:00 pm to schwartzy

Yep. I've been saying that Bama will lose to Tenn and LSU. At Ole Miss and at Ark won't be easy for Bama either. This has to be the toughest schedule for Bama since Saban arrived.

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Posted by Tiger Stadium 11

Charleston, SC

Member since Oct 2009

5215 posts

Posted on 7/6/16 at 3:07 pm to tgerb8

quote:
I don't remember what all goes into FPI but I think it's usually a very good indicator.

It gets more accurate as the season progresses given the large pool of data that's definitive to gauge from with the games already played.

Rather than saying LSU has an 84% chance of beating Wisconsin, if we actually beat them that data is now 100% accurate, rather than only 84%.

This post was edited on 7/6/16 at 3:08 pm

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Posted by TNTigerman

James Island

Member since Sep 2012

10496 posts

Posted on 7/6/16 at 6:29 pm to tgerb8