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Message
Early line for bama??
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:06 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:06 pm
Anyone know a site that has one out yet?
2
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:12 pm to Kingpenm3
According to the ODDSMAKER formula...
Alabama has a Rating (R) of -11
LSU has a Rating (R) of -4
Since this is a home game for LSU, LSU's current Home Field Vantage (HFV) is 3
You take -11 (Alabama's R) and subtract from -4 (LSU's R) to get 7 (Neutral Field Line)
You take 7 (Neutral Field Line) and subtract from 3 (LSU's HFV) to get 4
Right now Bama would be a -4 favorite
Alabama has a Rating (R) of -11
LSU has a Rating (R) of -4
Since this is a home game for LSU, LSU's current Home Field Vantage (HFV) is 3
You take -11 (Alabama's R) and subtract from -4 (LSU's R) to get 7 (Neutral Field Line)
You take 7 (Neutral Field Line) and subtract from 3 (LSU's HFV) to get 4
Right now Bama would be a -4 favorite
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:12 pm to Six3
quote:
According to the ODDSMAKER formula...
Alabama has a Rating (R) of -11
LSU has a Rating (R) of -4
Since this is a home game for LSU, LSU's current Home Field Vantage (HFV) is 3
You take -11 (Alabama's R) and subtract from -4 (LSU's R) to get 7 (Neutral Field Line)
You take 7 (Neutral Field Line) and subtract from 3 (LSU's HFV) to get 4
Right now Bama would be a -4 favorite
Cool, thanks.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 4:14 pm to Six3
and as of right now, for LSU's remaining schedule...
LSU -1 vs Arkansas (R = 1, HFV 4)
LSU -4 vs Texas A&M (R = 3, HFV = 3)
of course these are subject to change week to week with team's results.
LSU -1 vs Arkansas (R = 1, HFV 4)
LSU -4 vs Texas A&M (R = 3, HFV = 3)
of course these are subject to change week to week with team's results.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:16 pm to Six3
oddsmakers don't use this. yeah they rate teams and compare the ratings but they don't follow it to a T. Just a very general baseline. Also LSU has higher than a 3 Home field advantage. 3 is usually considered the average and we have a higher one while vandy has a lower one...I've heard around 7.5-6.5 from some offshore books. Vegas will prolly sit on the higher end
ETA: yeah they rate teams and compare the ratings but they don't follow it to a T. Just a very general baseline
ETA: yeah they rate teams and compare the ratings but they don't follow it to a T. Just a very general baseline
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 5:18 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:21 pm to Kingpenm3
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:22 pm to icegator337
LSU +7.5 is a WINNNER 
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:26 pm to transcend
Louisville money line bet against FSU is a winner tonight
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:31 pm to Six3
quote:
LSU -1 vs Arkansas (R = 1, HFV 4)
Are they saying that fricking ARKANSAS has a better home field value than LSU?
Who fricking made this again?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:32 pm to transcend
quote:
LSU +7.5 is a WINNNER
LSU beats Ole Miss at home as a 3 point dog, and then is a 7.5 dog at home to the team that Ole Miss beat?
Seems legit.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 5:36 pm to FAF
it's how vegas sees it
they also don't care if it's right. they just want equal money on each side
they also don't care if it's right. they just want equal money on each side
Posted on 10/30/14 at 6:26 pm to icegator337
Saw this morn ... Alabama -1
will edit if /when I can find link again
...need to make sure I looked at the right year...
will edit ASAP
... OK misread date:
one line: LSU + 11.5
LINK
LSU + 2.5 see Nov 8
LINK
have no idea what I saw at 6:oo am this morn
..and do not know as to the wide margin here.
will edit if /when I can find link again
...need to make sure I looked at the right year...
will edit ASAP
... OK misread date:
one line: LSU + 11.5
LINK
LSU + 2.5 see Nov 8
LINK
have no idea what I saw at 6:oo am this morn
..and do not know as to the wide margin here.
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 6:45 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 6:38 pm to icegator337
quote:
Alabama -7.5 LSU +7.5
I don't understand this.
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