Does anyone know of a chart showing the percentage of Major League success?

quote:

---

If recent history is any guide, then that answer is roughly one in six—or, to be precise, 17.2 percent of signed draft picks.

Baseball America arrived at that number by analyzing the 22 drafts from 1987 through 2008, noting the number of signed players who reached the big leagues for at least one game. This involved fusing the BA draft database, which contains signing information for every draft pick in history (save for a few stray draft-and-follows), and the Baseball-Reference.com draft database, which links major league statistics to every draft pick in history (again, with few exceptions).

We began the head count in 1987 because that year’s draft was the first to feature only one phase. This removed the complicating factor of the annual January and June drafts, each featuring two phases, by which players and teams were bound for the first 22 years of draft history.

---

Read more at LINK

quote:

---

These teams abound; there are over 150 of them, compared to 30 in the majors. The big leagues have 750 players, yet the 2004 draft alone took 1,500. Hence some estimate that only one in 33 minor leaguers ever makes it to the pros. If that's correct, the chance of a high school player making the big leagues is one in 6,600, or 0.015 percent. That's roughly the chance of a thief guessing your PIN number on the first try.

---

Roughly 25% of first rounders don't even make it.

That being said, nearly 100% of guys who don't sign will make it. What I mean is that you can't go to a guy like Poche and tell him to come back to LSU because 14 rounders aren't likely to make it. When you're drafted doesn't change the player. If he comes back and gets picked in the 6th it doesn't mean he's any more likely to make it. If he improves that much at LSU, he'd improve that much in the minors. It just becomes a question of where you'd like to spend your time while hopefully getting better.

I'm not suggesting you're saying otherwise, I'm just making a point about later picks who have to make the choice.

It matters the slot and how much a team will pay above it.

quote:

---

nearly 100% of guys who don't sign will make it.

---

So as a jr, they will probably offer him the max of 100k for the pick. If he was a sr they normally offer between 1k and 10k. Being that he plays baseball he probably doesn't have very much scholarship. So your thought process literally makes no sense. You don't leave money on the table like that.

A little of topic...
The first MLB draft was held in 1965. The first player selected was Rick Monday by the Kansas City Athletics.