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Can someone explain why Patrick Peterson is so bad?

Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:17 am
Posted by xxKylexx
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2011
4039 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:17 am
He's allowed 12 touchdowns since 2012, that's the most by any CB in the league. He's currently 2nd in the NFL in penalties as well. I don't get to watch many Cardinals games but what's up with him? Is he hurting?
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39981 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:18 am to
Oh lawds
Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:18 am to
Posted by RummelTiger
Texas
Member since Aug 2004
89888 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:19 am to
Shut-up, Kyle...
Posted by dj30
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2006
28726 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:21 am to
And here we go!!!!
Posted by That LSU Guy
The beach
Member since Jul 2008
11429 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:21 am to
Posted by mattytiger123
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jul 2014
3022 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:21 am to
He's not the best... But he's decent. A freakish athlete who deserves an 86 overall in madden
Posted by dagrippa
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
11297 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:22 am to
Les is meddling in the Cardinal secondary coverage scheme. I SAW THE LAMINATED SHEET!
Posted by mylsuhat
Mandeville, LA
Member since Mar 2008
48945 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:26 am to
quote:

He's allowed 12 touchdowns since 2012, that's the most by any CB in the league
well he actually covers the best WR on the field every game unlike some other "elite" players

so 12 TDs in 30ish? games to WR1s is damn impressive for anyone

quote:

He's currently 2nd in the NFL in penalties
he admits to playing a physical corner. the game is geared towards offense. it happens.
This post was edited on 12/1/14 at 10:27 am
Posted by xxKylexx
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2011
4039 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:27 am to
As a fellow Raider, shaddup
Posted by Harry Caray
Denial
Member since Aug 2009
18648 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:30 am to
quote:

He's allowed 12 touchdowns since 2012, that's the most by any CB in the league.
Because Saints CBs can't stay healthy long enough to touch that
Posted by death valley driver
CHOPPA CITY
Member since Jul 2004
11595 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:38 am to
Keenan Lewis > PP
Posted by Eden
Member since Nov 2014
477 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:39 am to
Unfortunately, OP, the only thing bad here is your statistical analysis.

First of all, a flat number doesn't tell us anything. We would need to know the rate of targets to touchdowns in order to contextualize the number of TDs he's given up. If he's been targeted 8 times per game (which a cursory glance at targeting data for the most-used WRs seems to indicate is normal), then since the 2012 regular season he's been targeted 352 times. How does 12/352 compare to the other CBs in the league?

Secondly, as already noted, Peterson consistently plays against the other team's best WR. So in fact, we don't even want to compare to other CBs in the league; we want to compare targeting rates with other CBs in the league that consistently go against other WR1s. Where's that data?

Third, why is this the lone metric of Peterson's success as a defender? Certainly the number of points allowed (which is effectively what this measures) is a useful stat, but it doesn't tell the entire story. We should also be looking for yards per attempt allowed (including penalties due to PI and holding) and comparing that to other CBs in the league that consistently go against other WR1s. It's unfortunately not possible to do a complete statistical analysis of Peterson's impact, because part of a cornerback's impact is innately negative (that is, arguably their biggest impact is in forcing teams to throw away from them, which can't meaningfully be interpreted by conventional stats); but it's possible to do a partial analysis that holds some weight.

This is not an example of such analysis.
Posted by USMCTiger03
Member since Sep 2007
71176 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:43 am to
Wow. /thread.
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
30027 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 10:47 am to
Doesn't matter, got 70 million
Posted by You will Artichokes
Member since May 2006
3482 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 11:10 am to
He doesn't shadow the top WR anymore. He has only done that against Julio and Dez this year. Julio cut him up, but he did lockdown Dez.
Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Unfortunately, OP, the only thing bad here is your statistical analysis.

First of all, a flat number doesn't tell us anything. We would need to know the rate of targets to touchdowns in order to contextualize the number of TDs he's given up. If he's been targeted 8 times per game (which a cursory glance at targeting data for the most-used WRs seems to indicate is normal), then since the 2012 regular season he's been targeted 352 times. How does 12/352 compare to the other CBs in the league?

Secondly, as already noted, Peterson consistently plays against the other team's best WR. So in fact, we don't even want to compare to other CBs in the league; we want to compare targeting rates with other CBs in the league that consistently go against other WR1s. Where's that data?

Third, why is this the lone metric of Peterson's success as a defender? Certainly the number of points allowed (which is effectively what this measures) is a useful stat, but it doesn't tell the entire story. We should also be looking for yards per attempt allowed (including penalties due to PI and holding) and comparing that to other CBs in the league that consistently go against other WR1s. It's unfortunately not possible to do a complete statistical analysis of Peterson's impact, because part of a cornerback's impact is innately negative (that is, arguably their biggest impact is in forcing teams to throw away from them, which can't meaningfully be interpreted by conventional stats); but it's possible to do a partial analysis that holds some weight.

This is not an example of such analysis.




Fantastic. Have an upvote
Posted by Eden
Member since Nov 2014
477 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 11:53 am to
quote:

He doesn't shadow the top WR anymore. He has only done that against Julio and Dez this year. Julio cut him up, but he did lockdown Dez.

Hm. Alright then, that reduces some of his targets. If we were to be more rigorous we could go through all his games and get the exact number, and then compare to other corners to get a reliable measurement.

Surely you can agree, though, that quoting a flat number of TDs without any context doesn't qualify as meaningful analysis.
Posted by SaintlyTiger
Deridder La
Member since Nov 2012
2228 posts
Posted on 12/1/14 at 4:04 pm to
Delete
This post was edited on 12/1/14 at 4:05 pm
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