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re: Baseball - Pre-Season Assumptions vs Reality

Posted on 5/13/24 at 4:38 pm to
Posted by upgrade
Member since Jul 2011
13176 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

pitching got worse his second year at A&M. That's not stability.


Was it down player to player or as a whole?

What does the rest of his career look like?

Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
8194 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 5:28 pm to
Guys have hit but the guys behind them haven’t in critical moments. Take Sunday. Braswell gets on and not one guy can find a hole.
Posted by TigerMac81
Bossier City, LA
Member since Dec 2007
3240 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 5:36 pm to
Statistically their staff regressed, particularly the number of walks issued and the staff ERA. As for his record, yeah, he has a CWS ring, but only because three Arkansas fielders forgot how to handle a pop up.
Posted by TigerMac81
Bossier City, LA
Member since Dec 2007
3240 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 5:39 pm to
By the way, thanks for asking pertinent questions and not being a giant dickhead like a lot of people on here.
Posted by Curtis Lowe
Member since Dec 2019
1291 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

I picked them to go 17-13. After watching a few scrimmages, I knew the offensive struggles would be there, but I kept thinking back to the 2022 team. Jay's first year here. How could a team with Ma'Khail Hilliard as their Friday night starter go 17-13 in the league, and this one can't?



Crews, Morgan. Daughty, Dugas, Berry, etc. A really good offense made up for a mediocre pitching staff. Hench, 17-13.

eta: Plus, Gervaise and Reyzelman were money closing out games.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 6:51 pm
Posted by KCSunshine
Midland Texas
Member since Dec 2019
476 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:24 pm to
I 100% agree with your take. I did another post where I compared 23 vs 24 teams Yes there was more talent in 23 BUT the stars played like stars and everyone else OVER ACHIEVED
This year the stars were ok but everyone else UNDER ACHIEVED big time especially pitchers. I believe Coach J thought staff would carry this team. Bright spots this year were Monster and Larson. Jared Jones defense is better and I see him as high draft pick in 25.
Posted by Curtis Lowe
Member since Dec 2019
1291 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

I understand your point, but the pitching got worse his second year at A&M. That's not stability.


How much turn over in the pitching staff from 2022 to 2023?

I know for a fact that aTm went from 3 established starters in 2022 to one (Dettmer) and he had injury issues during 2023 with the other two moving on from the program.

Raw numbers do not always paint the complete picture.
Posted by Curtis Lowe
Member since Dec 2019
1291 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

I 100% agree with your take. I did another post where I compared 23 vs 24 teams Yes there was more talent in 23 BUT the stars played like stars and everyone else OVER ACHIEVED
This year the stars were ok but everyone else UNDER ACHIEVED big time especially pitchers. I believe Coach J thought staff would carry this team. Bright spots this year were Monster and Larson. Jared Jones defense is better and I see him as high draft pick in 25.


Jones is a draft eligible sophomore and will easily be drafted in the first 10 rounds in June (next month). I would be very surprised to see Jones in an LSU uniform next season.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20400 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Guys have hit but the guys behind them haven’t in critical moments. Take Sunday. Braswell gets on and not one guy can find a hole.


8th inning Sunday is our season in a nutshell. Runners on 2nd and 3rd and no outs. None of the next 3 guys gets a hit. Any one of them does and it’s a tie game.
Posted by KCSunshine
Midland Texas
Member since Dec 2019
476 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 8:19 pm to
Didn’t realize Bear is draft eligible.
Why is that?
Posted by Curtis Lowe
Member since Dec 2019
1291 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 9:21 pm to
3 years removed from HS or over 21 yrs old by draft day or soon thereafter. Bear falls into the latter category.
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
5947 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 9:38 pm to
I'm disappointed at how poorly this season has gone, but I never agreed with the preseason polls, nor most of what people around here were saying on local shows about how deep the pitching was.

I had very low expectations for the offense, and I saw an awful lot of assumptions about pitchers who had way too much yet to prove, to think that they were all going to be that good. I thought this team would make the post season, but thought they'd be pretty underwhelming and not a real threat to make a run. It's gone way worse than I expected, despite the fact that we have one guy, Jared Jones, who has been way better than I expected him to be.
Posted by lsudocts
Mandeville
Member since Nov 2015
252 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 10:22 pm to
Also pitching staff was supposed to be an embarassment of riches. Big problem is CJJ seemed to think all these things as well. His only concern in preseason interviews was who to play and how to keep everyone happy.
Posted by semjase
New Smyrna Beach FL
Member since May 2014
11062 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 10:54 pm to
7.) Cam Johnson was supposed to be the Second Coming of Vida Blue.

That never happened because he has NO CONTROL of his 105 mph pitches.

Linehan, no I mean Peetz, sorry I mean Yeskie, couldn't do anything of consequence to help

MLB saw it too, thus no wretched excess contract. Go to LSU, prove yourself, then come back and see us .(All you fartknockers go look up Vida Blue if you don't know who he is)
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
65112 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:19 pm to
quote:

Didn’t realize Bear is draft eligible. Why is that?

He was born on the literal cutoff day to be eligible as a sophomore. If you’re 21 on or before August 1, you’re eligible. Jones turns 21 on August 1
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
65112 posts
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:24 pm to
quote:

None of the next 3 guys gets a hit.

True but Jones did drive in Pearson from third on the fielders choice. That’s a good, productive AB
quote:

Any one of them does and it’s a tie game.

No guarantee White scores from second on a hit. The frustrating part was Larson striking out with a man on 3rd and 1 out. Put the ball in play on the ground in the IF or in the air to the OF and it’s likely a tie game

Regardless, the whole team doing nothing most of the game was far more frustrating than only scoring 2 in the 8th.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 11:26 pm
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20400 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 7:52 am to
quote:

True but Jones did drive in Pearson from third on the fielders choice. That’s a good, productive AB


True, but my point is there have been too many instances like that this season including others in the Sunday game. Our inability to drive in runs with runners in scoring position has been our biggest problem this year.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
65112 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Our inability to drive in runs with runners in scoring position has been our biggest problem this year.

I don't disagree. But I think getting two runs in when the first 2 reached base in the inning isn't a great example of us not producing runs. We've had plenty of times this season, and last weekend, where we had runners on base and no outs and scored zero runs out of the deal. It's hard for me to really complain about a crooked inning.
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
8194 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 9:24 am to
You can not consistently win at any level like that.
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