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BABIP - Batting Average On Balls in Play
Posted on 4/3/24 at 3:22 am
Posted on 4/3/24 at 3:22 am
Ran the numbers to see what our team BABIP is.
For those not familiar, BABIP indicates how lucky/unlucky you are with regard to where you are hitting the ball. For reference, MLB average is ~.300. If BABIP > .300, you’re “hitting it where they ain’t”; if BABIP under .300, you’re “hitting it right at ‘em”. Should run a bit higher than .300 in college given the level of defender is not that of the MLB.
So here are the numbers..
LSU Overall BABIP: .326
Opponents overall BABIP: .332
LSU SEC Conf BABIP: .280
SEC Opponents BABIP: .354
One could argue our hitters have been unlucky in SEC play, with our opponents being pretty damn lucky at the same time. The good news: these numbers will mean revert over time, assuming we consistently make hard contact on par with our opponents.
Only caveat: I’m not accounting for exit velocity. It’s possible we have a way lower avg exit velocity than our SEC opponents, which could contribute to the lower BABIP.
Only other plausible explanation is Wanaka is sabotaging us from the inside, putting our guys out of position defensively.
In short, THERE IS HOPE
For those not familiar, BABIP indicates how lucky/unlucky you are with regard to where you are hitting the ball. For reference, MLB average is ~.300. If BABIP > .300, you’re “hitting it where they ain’t”; if BABIP under .300, you’re “hitting it right at ‘em”. Should run a bit higher than .300 in college given the level of defender is not that of the MLB.
So here are the numbers..
LSU Overall BABIP: .326
Opponents overall BABIP: .332
LSU SEC Conf BABIP: .280
SEC Opponents BABIP: .354
One could argue our hitters have been unlucky in SEC play, with our opponents being pretty damn lucky at the same time. The good news: these numbers will mean revert over time, assuming we consistently make hard contact on par with our opponents.
Only caveat: I’m not accounting for exit velocity. It’s possible we have a way lower avg exit velocity than our SEC opponents, which could contribute to the lower BABIP.
Only other plausible explanation is Wanaka is sabotaging us from the inside, putting our guys out of position defensively.
In short, THERE IS HOPE
14
Posted on 4/3/24 at 3:30 am to LeGOAT
Kind of a weird thing to deep dive and post at 3AM
Posted on 4/3/24 at 3:46 am to brtiger77
quote:
Kind of a weird thing to deep dive and post at 3AM
Perks of night shift
This post was edited on 4/3/24 at 3:50 am
Posted on 4/3/24 at 4:31 am to brtiger77
We’ve all done weirder shite than this at 3 am.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 5:30 am to LeGOAT
I can add to this.
Per d1 stats
From a pitching standpoint:
Lsu has a defensive/pitching babip of .332, 3rd worst in the conference. Their 3.04 siera is 3rd best in conference, so they have definitely been on the unlucky side from a pitching and defensive perspective.
Their .327 offensive babip is pretty average for the conference.
Sidenote:
Vanderbilts offensive babip is .362 for 3rd best in conference.
Their defensive babip is .286 for 2nd best in conference.
In other words, regression is heading their way
Per d1 stats
From a pitching standpoint:
Lsu has a defensive/pitching babip of .332, 3rd worst in the conference. Their 3.04 siera is 3rd best in conference, so they have definitely been on the unlucky side from a pitching and defensive perspective.
Their .327 offensive babip is pretty average for the conference.
Sidenote:
Vanderbilts offensive babip is .362 for 3rd best in conference.
Their defensive babip is .286 for 2nd best in conference.
In other words, regression is heading their way
This post was edited on 4/3/24 at 5:34 am
Posted on 4/3/24 at 5:52 am to josh336
quote:
Their .327 offensive babip is pretty average for the conference.
.327 overall vs. .280 in SEC games. Baseball Gods have humbled us in SEC play.
Moreover, .354 BABIP against our pitchers in SEC games is crazy high. Combine that with walks and you have a recipe for disaster.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 5:58 am to LeGOAT
Nice post
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:07 am to LeGOAT
It doesn’t help much if we strike out 12+ times a game.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:08 am to bourbon78
I dont think you know what babip is
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:10 am to LeGOAT
quote:
Only other plausible explanation is Wanaka is sabotaging us from the inside, putting our guys out of position defensively.
Most likely. LSU’s defensive positioning has been a glaring weakness since Day 1 under Jay Johnson.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:10 am to The Boat
Welcome aboard the defensive alignment opposition train
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:11 am to LeGOAT
How do the defensive shifts play into this?
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:13 am to josh336
Brother you know I’ve been on that train since 2022. We’ve talked about it before.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:16 am to The Boat
2022 is when it really filled me with rage, now its just expected
Posted on 4/3/24 at 6:25 am to 1984Tiger
quote:I was being facetious about Wanaka. But in theory if you shift players away from where the ball is actually going to be hit, you increase odds of it being a hit vs. an out, thus increasing BABIP of the opponent.
How do the defensive shifts play into this?
Posted on 4/3/24 at 7:08 am to LeGOAT
quote:
For those not familiar, BABIP indicates how lucky/unlucky you are with regard to where you are hitting the ball.
Kinda. If you hit weak popups every time the ball is in play, that's still poor batting.
quote:
Only caveat: I’m not accounting for exit velocity. It’s possible we have a way lower avg exit velocity than our SEC opponents, which could contribute to the lower BABIP.
Yeah that's what I was talking about.
Also, are you using every AB that isn't a strikeout or does it only count ball hit in fair territory? In other words, does it looking at HITS/(AB-SO) or does it look at HITS/(AB-SO-FOUL-OUTS)?
That is an interesting stat, though.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 7:14 am to mdomingue
It’s balls in play, so doesn’t remove foul outs but does remove homeruns from both hits and ABs (which triggers the hell out of ell).
This post was edited on 4/3/24 at 7:18 am
Posted on 4/3/24 at 7:17 am to LeGOAT
Not all balls are hit equally. This isn’t all about luck. A hard hit ball in the gap is not luck compared to a pop fly in the gap that the OF can get under. In other words, a low BABIP can very well indicate a team that is not hitting the ball well.
Posted on 4/3/24 at 7:17 am to LeGOAT
Nice list
Posted on 4/3/24 at 7:31 am to LeGOAT
I just see that we hit a lot more pop flies than our opponents. Loud outs don't get you much.
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