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Star rankings for NFL draft Rd.1

Posted on 4/29/22 at 9:46 am
Posted by IotaTiger
Tickfaw, La.
Member since Jul 2011
1099 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 9:46 am
On3 has it broke down.
5 star -9
4 star -13
3 star -6
2 star -1
Not rated -3

9 out of 32 annual 5 stars 1st rounders. Just thought was interesting.
Posted by TheAstroTiger
Member since Jun 2018
3101 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 9:50 am to
Just shows the HS recruiting rankings are pretty good. The percent of 5 stars drafted is much higher than 4-NR.
Posted by Bottom9
Arsenal Til I Die
Member since Jul 2010
21749 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:08 am to
Damn. But we should definitely not care or worry about losing a 4 or 5 star guy
Posted by Scars of Old
Member since Apr 2022
62 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:17 am to
So 4 stars are the best bet
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37586 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:22 am to
quote:

So 4 stars are the best bet


No

9/32 is a damn good hit rate


What are there, 100+ 4*s?
Posted by LSUcajun77
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2008
21270 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:27 am to
quote:

So 4 stars are the best bet


Do you even math, bro?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:29 am to
It just reinforces that 4* and 5* rankings get it right a lot because they have far less in recruiting rankings. That means the probability is much higher to have success with 5* and 4* recruits. Also shows how their limited resources are when lots fall through the cracks and develop. It's not rocket science here.

5* is best bet followed by 4* based on the first round. That's how it's done on recruiting and is correct. There's only about 30 5* a year if that sometimes so to have 9 drafted is amazing. I think there's over 200 4* every year and then obviously 3* is much higher than that.

They grade it as:

5* - instant impact player with high draft pick written all over them

4* - all-american potential player who has high draft ceiling

3* - usually raw but has NFL ceiling and sometimes a varying late/high draft ceiling potential or all-american potential after heavy development. raw that need refining and usually slow developers.

2*, 1*, NR are players that the recruiting services simply shite the bed on because their resources are limited. They're not a big name, they don't go to camps, they slip through cracks. Obviously all have to develop some slower than others which is hard to project and why you get your busts.
This post was edited on 4/29/22 at 10:41 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39359 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:41 am to
quote:

So 4 stars are the best bet
quote:

Scars of Old


Math is not your strong suit.
Posted by JTA1985
Member since Feb 2012
3191 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:46 am to
13/32 > 9/32
Posted by sstig
Houston
Member since Oct 2003
2769 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 10:58 am to
Wrong math professor.
Posted by SeanLSU
Member since May 2019
1759 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:07 am to
It's also important to account for how many total 5 stars there are in a class, as well as how many total 4 stars, 3 stars, etc.

The pool of available 5-stars is quite small comparatively, so 9 5-star players drafted in 32 picks is very impressive.

4-star and 5-star high school recruits continue to perform at a high rate and represent 22 of 32 picks in the first round last night.

The numbers also show that not being a 4-star or 5-star in high school doesn't mean your journey is over. 10 of last night's first rounders (nearly 1/3) were 3-star or below. The key is to get to a college roster and then become a college 5-star, regardless of what you were rated in high school.
Posted by Scars of Old
Member since Apr 2022
62 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:16 am to
13>9

Keep this simple
Posted by Damathe
Member since Apr 2020
7092 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:34 am to
Da fuqq you been, baw?
You still had takes.
Posted by ronk
Member since Jan 2015
6206 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:35 am to
There’s roughly 30 5 stars. 9 got drafted in the first round. There’s about 250 4 stars and 13 went in the first round. That’s the math in question. Around 30% of the 5 stars to around 5% of the 4 stars.
Posted by Diggerest
B.R.
Member since Dec 2010
808 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:40 am to
Another interesting stat would be how many of those 5*, etc become "impact players", justifying their high selection, and contract price.
Posted by Scars of Old
Member since Apr 2022
62 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:42 am to
I know this. I’d be more than glad on taking my chances on a class of all 4 stars is my point. Of course I want 5 stars also
Posted by pxrona
Central
Member since Jan 2018
1006 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 11:59 am to
looks like 13- 4* vs 9- 5*. You might want to read again.
Posted by whitefoot
Franklin, TN
Member since Aug 2006
11181 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

They grade it as:

5* - instant impact player with high draft pick written all over them

4* - all-american potential player who has high draft ceiling

3* - usually raw but has NFL ceiling and sometimes a varying late/high draft ceiling potential or all-american potential after heavy development. raw that need refining and usually slow developers.

2*, 1*, NR are players that the recruiting services simply shite the bed on because their resources are limited. They're not a big name, they don't go to camps, they slip through cracks. Obviously all have to develop some slower than others which is hard to project and why you get your busts

This is a solid grading philosophy. Whose is it?

I've had a problem with 247's 5* philosophy where they drop guys based on how NFL teams draft their position. So like, they would drop a guard from 5* status because NFL teams supposedly don't draft a lot of guards in the first round.
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70335 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

looks like 13- 4* vs 9- 5*. You might want to read again.


Looks like you might want to read again.

The percentage of 5 stars that were drafted is higher than the percentage of 4 stars that were drafted. The raw numbers of guys is not comparable because there are many more 4 stars than 5 stars.

But go ahead, keep trying to make other people feel stupid you fricking moron.
Posted by LuzianaFootball
Bay Area
Member since Dec 2008
7846 posts
Posted on 4/29/22 at 12:08 pm to
Just goes to show the ranking systems are sht actually. Only 9? The way they swear by their rankings that's low as hell.
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