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Started By
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Odds that J.Graham outscores Brees tonight?
Posted on 12/15/14 at 10:02 am
Posted on 12/15/14 at 10:02 am
In the semis. I'm up by five points. I have Jimmy Graham remaining, opponent has Brees. Think I stand a chance?
Posted on 12/15/14 at 10:08 am to fillmoregandt
I hope so. I need Brees to not get 43.5 points.
Posted on 12/15/14 at 11:21 am to fillmoregandt
No scoring type no care
Posted on 12/15/14 at 11:23 am to fillmoregandt
If you tell me the scoring settings, then we can give you an answer based on this year's data.
For example, I have Graham and I up 12.5 points PPR. He has Brees and it is four point passing TD's.
The only times that Brees outscored Graham by 12.5 or more was in weeks 7 and 13 when Graham laid a goose egg.
For example, I have Graham and I up 12.5 points PPR. He has Brees and it is four point passing TD's.
The only times that Brees outscored Graham by 12.5 or more was in weeks 7 and 13 when Graham laid a goose egg.
Posted on 12/15/14 at 12:52 pm to Vicks Kennel Club
Standard scoring. PPR. 6 pts receiving TD, 4 pts throwing TD (I believe)
Don't have a great feeling based off recent history but who knows
Don't have a great feeling based off recent history but who knows
Posted on 12/15/14 at 1:28 pm to fillmoregandt
quote:
Standard scoring.
quote:
PPR.
Yeah, that is not possible. I am assuming you mean PPR. Standard means that there is no points for a reception.
With PPR and decimal scoring, Brees has outscored Graham by 5+ points in weeks 3, 5, 7, 8, 11, 12, 13, and 14.
Week 12 was only a difference of 5.6, but it looks like you have maybe a 5/13 chance based on games this season. However, if Graham does not shite the bed (which has happened 8/13 times this year), then Graham has got enough for you to win 5/8 times.
Basically, Graham needs to have a double-digit game for you to have a chance. You have a very strong chance of winning if Graham puts up 20+.
I would guess it is literally a toss-up because the Bears are shite against tight ends and have poor defensive scheming. No way to know, but I hope you win because I am in a similar boat.
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