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Here's how close Florida is...

Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:39 pm
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10191 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:39 pm
Obama won Florida by 0.88% in 2012.

GOP won turnout in Pinellas Co by 1.12% in 2012
GOP is winning turnout this year by 2.03%

A difference of................

0.91%
Posted by massiveattack
CharLIT/Chapel Chill
Member since Oct 2010
11551 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:40 pm to
Scary
Posted by BamaScoop
Panama City Beach, Florida
Member since May 2007
53810 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:40 pm to
But Trump is going to sweep so many other areas in Florida that Broward country will be irrelevant. He will beat her by hug numbers in Florida and the democrats will get caught cheating by going over number of registered voters in certain counties trying to offset Trump support.
Posted by threeputt
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
24791 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:40 pm to
So all GOPers are voting for trump
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
50248 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

Obama won Florida by 0.88% in 2012.

GOP won turnout in Pinellas Co by 1.12% in 2012
GOP is winning turnout this year by 2.03%

A difference of................

0.91%

How does one win turnout? Show up, give their party affiliation, and then proceed to not vote?
Posted by Hawkeye95
Member since Dec 2013
20293 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

Here's how close Florida is...


florida is going to be under 2 pts once again.

one county won't swing the results either way.
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32541 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:42 pm to
Dems know this too, and this small margin is why voter fraud matters.
Posted by HaveMercy
Member since Dec 2014
3000 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

So all GOPers are voting for trump


So all Dems are voting for Hillary??

Nobody knows either way in this election. This is nothing like these pollsters have ever seen. They don't have algorrythms to properly poll this election.

That's why I've said all along: don't trust the polls.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81374 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:59 pm to
Trump started today 100k votes better off than Romney tho right
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10191 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Trump started today 100k votes better off than Romney tho right


Don't know, but the percentages in OP account for all voting - early, absentee, and today.
Posted by Wideman
Arlington, Virginia
Member since Jul 2005
11721 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Obama won Florida by 0.88% in 2012.

GOP won turnout in Pinellas Co by 1.12% in 2012
GOP is winning turnout this year by 2.03%

A difference of................

0.91%


not to be your debbie downer here, but 0.91% of one county does not equal greater than 0.88% state-wide...
Posted by TailgateTiger
Bullard, Texas
Member since Oct 2008
2183 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

So all GOPers are voting for trump




So all dumers are voting for Hilliary?
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56379 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

not to be your debbie downer here, but 0.91% of one county does not equal greater than 0.88% state-wide...



I think he's saying that the .91% increase in that county would be representative of a similar percentage state wide.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118680 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

So all GOPers are voting for trump


If you believe the polls they are.

The latest CNN poll shows Trump with 89% Republican support and Hillary with 89% Democrat support.

Support by party affiliation is a wash.

Republicans broke late but finally came home. That was the work of Mike Pence.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118680 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

I think he's saying that the .91% increase in that county would be representative of a similar percentage state wide.





The key with Florida IMO is that Dem counties will show less support for Hillary than Obama and Rep counties will show more support for Trump than Romney.
Posted by MIZ_COU
I'm right here
Member since Oct 2013
13771 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:17 pm to
won't stay that way. all the retired repubs already voted
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
50248 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

The key with Florida IMO is that Dem counties will show less support for Hillary than Obama and Rep counties will show more support for Trump than Romney.
The third party comparative totals are staggeringly mind blowing.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123781 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

SirWinston
You'll like this. Poll predictions are based on turnout assumptions. Thus far, turnout is far higher than expected. That "blows the predictions up".

Now perhaps the high turnout means Hillary is doing far better at GOTV than Obama did. Perhaps it means Hispanics are turning out at record levels specifically to oppose Trump. Both are being speculated by the MSM.

But the more plausible guess seems to be a MAGA wave.
:fingerscrossed:
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