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December Bracketology

Posted on 12/4/13 at 2:14 pm
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 2:14 pm
At this point, Bracketology is even more abstract than art and it's always more of an art than a science. That doesn't stop people from still doing it.

There's not a better post-season climax than NCAA Basketball's Tournament. Giving 68 teams a chance to win it all, this tournament brings more drama than a soap opera. The first two days of the tournament are widely considered two of the best sports days of the year.

The Art of Bracketology is vast, complex, and lacking in structure. Then why do it? Because it's one of the most debatable topics in basketball.

Here's my December Bracketology:




This early, there's little logic behind this. I like to look at defensive efficiency and how you play the top teams and I really don't incorporate wins against anyone not in the top 200 teams.

Still a lot of basketball to be played, but it's never too early to think about the end result; as long as you enjoy the ride.


NCAA Bracket Guidelines


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Posted by Captain Ron
Location: Ted's
Member since Dec 2012
4340 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 5:08 pm to
Looks like the SEC will get screwed this year.

We will finish top 3 in the SEC and get a 9 seed?
Posted by Call Me Cam
Member since Nov 2013
313 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 5:12 pm to
Where is this from?

Posted by lsutigertalk
At Death Valley
Member since Apr 2004
5472 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 5:12 pm to
No clue how you came up with this list, but I can guarantee it is just as if not more accurate than the so called experts are coming up with. Nice work.
Posted by Captain Ron
Location: Ted's
Member since Dec 2012
4340 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

Where is this from?


SouthofSouth's attempt at an early bracket.

LSU will be a 6 seed. He's underselling us right now to appear un-biased.
Posted by lsutigertalk
At Death Valley
Member since Apr 2004
5472 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 5:17 pm to
Weren't we a 6 seed when we made it to the Final Four?
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 5:27 pm to
4-seed
Posted by WeeBeaux
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
698 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 6:02 pm to
We won the SEC that year with Thornton and were an 8 seed.
Posted by Britgirl
Ascension
Member since Jan 2013
1176 posts
Posted on 12/4/13 at 6:33 pm to
Educate me, because I can be a little dumb - how do you know we'll be in Region 2?

Also, see my post under the Lunardi thread, re RPI's.
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 12/5/13 at 6:14 am to
Britgirl,

I have no way to determine regions. Especially this early, I did not look at that at all. I got the 68 teams that I believed "earned" a bid and then ranked them. Then I just placed them in order and snaked them around.

The way that they determine which region a team ends up in is very interesting though. They try not to set you up to play anyone in conference in the first two rounds. They also try and keep regular season OOC games out of the first two rounds.

Here's the NCAA's bracket rules, which I have added to the post.

LINK
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 12/5/13 at 6:41 am to
quote:

LSU will be a 6 seed. He's underselling us right now to appear un-biased.


I am worried about the way the SEC has played this early season. We didn't get the big wins that I hoped for. So I see a lot of people discounting our conference games.

If we could have beat UMASS or Memphis, we would be looking at a much higher ceiling, however, I'm worried that even if we go 13-5 we won't get much higher than 6-7 seed and I think we probably lose a game or two we aren't suppose to and go 12-6 in conference.

I think Tennessee and Missouri still have a very good shot at making the tournament so don't look too hard into the fact that I only put 3 SEC teams in. At this point, I just don't think the SEC gets more than 3-4. It's possible the SEC gets 5 but I'd say outside of that there's no chance.
Posted by Britgirl
Ascension
Member since Jan 2013
1176 posts
Posted on 12/5/13 at 10:32 am to
quote:


Here's the NCAA's bracket rules, which I have added to the post.


Thanks!
Very complex but I guess the NCAA is trying to be as fair as possible during the selection process.

Now I see how you came up with the regions and teams there-in. Good work!

When I was reading about the actual team selections (rather than the placement in brackets)
I came up with a "what if?".
A voting committee member can't vote in any part of the selection process that contains a team he/she is affiliated with (good thing). It's therefore possible that quite a few members would be unable to vote in a certain phase of the balloting, because they are all affiliated with a team being voted upon.
This would mean that far less voters would be responsible for the picks in that part of the ballot. Might that skew the results??


Posted by Tiger Live2
Westwego, LA
Member since Mar 2012
9590 posts
Posted on 12/5/13 at 12:40 pm to
I'm not sure if I would like that or not. I'm a VCU(and Memphis) fan too. But it would be kind of cool to have an Elite 8 matchup between LSU and VCU. I think it would be a good game, and hopefully LSU would win.
Posted by joe68
Hamilton ,MT
Member since Sep 2003
2769 posts
Posted on 12/15/13 at 4:30 pm to
I don't see Kentucky as a 3 seed !! They might have 7 or 9 L's by the big dance
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 12/15/13 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

We will finish top 3 in the SEC and get a 9 seed?

We finished 1st in the SEC in 2009 and got an 8 seed.
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