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re: We don't know how many people died FROM Covid, therefore can't know Vax effectiveness
Posted on 8/9/21 at 12:24 pm to McLemore
Posted on 8/9/21 at 12:24 pm to McLemore
quote:
And given the widely disparate outcomes even among people of the same age group, how can "they" claim any particular effectiveness per person? You can glean a rough estimate over time (longer than a few months), but when they came out with 95% immediately upon authorization, I just shook my head. Literally no way to make that claim legitimately with this disease.
That's not how they calculate efficacy.
Say you have 20,000 people in one vaccinated group and 20,000 people in one unvaccinated group.
If 20 people in the unvaccinated group get COVID and 1 person in the vaccinated group gets COVID, the vaccine has an efficacy of 95%.
It doesn't mean 95% of people won't get COVID if a vaccinated group was infected. It means that they're 95% *less likely* to get it.
This post was edited on 8/9/21 at 12:25 pm
Posted on 8/9/21 at 1:27 pm to darkmatter134
That wasn't the claim though (the one I'm talking about) . It was about preventing "serious illness," not positive tests (which of course has its own issues but that's for another day).
Example of what I mean by the folly of the precise claims regarding serious illness.
XiNN
Example of what I mean by the folly of the precise claims regarding serious illness.
XiNN
This post was edited on 8/9/21 at 1:38 pm
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