re: taking an alternative look at Virginia

Virginia is going to be the this year's version of 2016 Minnesota.

Trump didn't really even go after Minnesota hard in 2016, and he barely lost despite the polls saying he was down by 10 points.

Trump has been to Virginia once in 2020, and it was really only to double dip with North Carolina voters.

I think he loses Virginia by less than 2.5 points. I would still say a win there is very unlikely, though.