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re: Should I move my 401k money to the cash option ahead of the election?
Posted on 11/5/20 at 2:36 pm to whitefoot
Posted on 11/5/20 at 2:36 pm to whitefoot
While you are certainly entitled to your opinion, options data was pretty clearly suggesting expectation of one outcome.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-investors-bets-eye-a-biden-victory-robust-stimulus-11603791001
https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-investors-bets-eye-a-biden-victory-robust-stimulus-11603791001
Posted on 11/6/20 at 1:37 pm to CrawfishOfWallstreet
This article is a little dated, don't you think? There was definitely heavy rotation from growth to value in anticipation of a blue wave (big stimulus) in the weeks leading up to the election. But the S&P dropped like 6% since that article was published.
I'd share your concern of this week's bounce if it was 7% on top of the October 23rd levels, where it was looking like a blue wave was coming. After last week's declines, I don't think any election outcome was "baked in" any longer. The market is only up about 1% from October 23.
I'd share your concern of this week's bounce if it was 7% on top of the October 23rd levels, where it was looking like a blue wave was coming. After last week's declines, I don't think any election outcome was "baked in" any longer. The market is only up about 1% from October 23.
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