re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 30, 2020 Update: 114,481 cases - 3,811 deaths - 1,317,390 tested

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Salmon, you’re a smart dude and I have a question
I have been posting the hospital data lately and believed it to be good news because it was falling in key states

But what if the number of hospitalized patients is falling only because deaths are surging at the hospitals and freeing up beds?

It’s theoretically possible for the number of new admittances to a hospital to increase while the number of hospitalized falls, if deaths caused so many open beds.

Is that what is happening here?

Day 1: 30 new admits, 20 deaths. +10 new hospitalizations

Day 2: 40 new admits, 35 deaths. +5 new hospitalizations

Day 3: 50 new admits, 55 deaths. -5 hospitalizations


This trend looks good on surface, but actually very bad


Is that what is happening here?

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Not that deaths are a good thing, but those beds are not being replaced. That is the good thing. When we were being hit really hard the bed count went up including deaths.