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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 30, 2020 Update: 114,481 cases - 3,811 deaths - 1,317,390 tested

Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83653 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Wut? It took a month of declining numbers to take us off stay at home order


he argued that not all regions were declining

quote:

Then he extended phase 1 2 weeks longer than needed


1 week

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120572 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

he argued that not all regions were declining


This has been my complaint all along. The one size fits all approach.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69417 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:00 pm to
Salmon, you’re a smart dude and I have a question
I have been posting the hospital data lately and believed it to be good news because it was falling in key states

But what if the number of hospitalized patients is falling only because deaths are surging at the hospitals and freeing up beds?

It’s theoretically possible for the number of new admittances to a hospital to increase while the number of hospitalized falls, if deaths caused so many open beds.

Is that what is happening here?

Day 1: 30 new admits, 20 deaths. +10 new hospitalizations

Day 2: 40 new admits, 35 deaths. +5 new hospitalizations

Day 3: 50 new admits, 55 deaths. -5 hospitalizations


This trend looks good on surface, but actually very bad


Is that what is happening here?
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