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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?
Posted on 5/17/24 at 12:30 pm to ev247
Posted on 5/17/24 at 12:30 pm to ev247
I edited an Arkansas brine territories map to show how a 10% royalty would affect the operating costs of 1A and SWA, using their DFS and PFS. Notice just how much stronger SWA is than 1A. $15,000/ton seems to be the neighborhood where lithium spot prices have been for the past several months.
Posted on 5/17/24 at 1:04 pm to ev247
Would love to see a ruling from AO&G that since Exxon suggested it, they can operate for the next 5 years with a 10% royalty and everyone else at 3.5% and then have the issue revisited.
Posted on 5/28/24 at 10:13 pm to ev247
Exxon isn't offering a true 10% gross royalty. It's 10% less expenses related to transport, refining, marketing, etc. Who knows what that works out to with corporate accounting. But an interesting point is that Lithium only accounts for ~10% of the marketable value of the minerals in the brine. Ex: Na, Mg and Ca ions are worth considerably more if isolated via electrolysis/distillation given their concentration x spot of industrial grades in Shanghai. The E&P's maintain they're only interested in Lithium, potassium and bromine, but I have my doubts
Also that 10% assumes Exxon, or whoever markets the sourced minerals, sells them in an arms-length deal. I wouldn't be surprised if it's something like this: There are 2 operators partnered on the unit, one which might extract the bromine. The tail-end brine then gets traded like-kind with Albemarle or Dow for chemicals/products equivs needed for ops + a deal for a backend royalty carved out from the revenue generated when they chem cos market the end products, or selling crude brine at discount wellhead rates with an end-profit sharing deal in place
Oh and the lithium doesn't go for $15k/mt, Lithium Carbonate and Lithium Hydroxide are ~$13-15k/mt, but lithium is a small component in those compounds by mass, with the anion considered to contribute no value. Correcting for purity and stoichiometric coefficients, the lithium is actually ~$80,000/ton at current spot
Also that 10% assumes Exxon, or whoever markets the sourced minerals, sells them in an arms-length deal. I wouldn't be surprised if it's something like this: There are 2 operators partnered on the unit, one which might extract the bromine. The tail-end brine then gets traded like-kind with Albemarle or Dow for chemicals/products equivs needed for ops + a deal for a backend royalty carved out from the revenue generated when they chem cos market the end products, or selling crude brine at discount wellhead rates with an end-profit sharing deal in place
Oh and the lithium doesn't go for $15k/mt, Lithium Carbonate and Lithium Hydroxide are ~$13-15k/mt, but lithium is a small component in those compounds by mass, with the anion considered to contribute no value. Correcting for purity and stoichiometric coefficients, the lithium is actually ~$80,000/ton at current spot
This post was edited on 5/29/24 at 11:54 pm
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