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re: IHME model is getting better for the US...stabilizing as we get more and more good data
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:05 am to RB10
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:05 am to RB10
quote:
Absolutely. The early projections were absurd, and even then the media generally reported the high end of it.
There is going to be a ton of this, even though most of those projections were probably based on lack of/bad data rather than anything else.
The average dude who "knew" it wouldn't be that bad will be vindicated, his hunch was right.
Of course, a ton of those dudes predicted flu-results, or a thousand deaths, etc., but they'll never mention those predictions.
4
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:06 am to Pettifogger
quote:
There is going to be a ton of this, even though most of those projections were probably based on lack of/bad data rather than anything else.
The average dude who "knew" it wouldn't be that bad will be vindicated, his hunch was right.
Of course, a ton of those dudes predicted flu-results, or a thousand deaths, etc., but they'll never mention those predictions.
I bookmarked ~100 posts from people. Might have a big thread with screenshots.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:07 am to Pettifogger
quote:
Of course, a ton of those dudes predicted flu-results, or a thousand deaths, etc., but they'll never mention those predictions.
"Flu results" is the most accurate prediction as of now.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:19 am to Pettifogger
quote:Umm, 60k deaths, which are now the projections, is absolutely flu like results
Of course, a ton of those dudes predicted flu-results, or a thousand deaths, etc., but they'll never mention those predictions.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:46 am to Pettifogger
quote:well any intelligent person that wants to be right would know, bad data isn't data. Therefore it wasn't just, oh shucks we had bad data.
There is going to be a ton of this, even though most of those projections were probably based on lack of/bad data rather than anything else.
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