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re: IHME model is getting better for the US...stabilizing as we get more and more good data
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:03 am to SloaneRanger
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:03 am to SloaneRanger
quote:Alabama’s death projections decreased a whopping 90% from 9000 to 900...total.
It has been a couple of days since I checked--is the model still predicting 5,500 deaths in Alabama by the end of April? Because the Alabama Dept. of Public Health says that there are only 271 people hospitalized state wide for this and I am having a hard time reconciling these figures.
A lot of significant decisions were made based on that 5,500 death projection.
They are a prime example of the overestimation.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 9:04 am
2
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:05 am to Scruffy
quote:
They are a prime example of the overestimation.
They are also an extreme outlier. They had really bad data early on.
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