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re: IHME model is getting better for the US...stabilizing as we get more and more good data
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:56 am to TheCaterpillar
Posted on 4/8/20 at 8:56 am to TheCaterpillar
quote:If you throw out the “crash the economy to get Trump” part, there is truth to his statement.
Be gone from this thread.
The estimates were way overdone, mainly because we lacked data.
We are seeing death estimate reductions in areas that are so large that it wouldn’t be feasible to obtain reductions of that magnitude with the current restrictions we have.
That isn’t to say social distancing hasn’t had an impact, but these models are also correcting for their extreme projections early on too.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 8:57 am
4
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:01 am to Scruffy
quote:
If you throw out the “crash the economy to get Trump” part, there is truth to his statement.
Absolutely. The early projections were absurd, and even then the media generally reported the high end of it.
Sensationalism still sells.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:04 am to Scruffy
quote:
If you throw out the “crash the economy to get Trump” part, there is truth to his statement.
Well, that's the reason I asked him to leave. Politics fricking suck.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:07 am to Scruffy
quote:so if you throw out the main point of his post, there is truth to his statement
If you throw out the “crash the economy to get Trump” part, there is truth to his statement.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:29 am to Scruffy
quote:
That isn’t to say social distancing hasn’t had an impact, but these models are also correcting for their extreme projections early on too.
How much impact has the lockdown and social distancing has? How wrong were the models?
Do you know?
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