re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/26/20 12PM CT Update: 2,305 Cases - 18,029 tested - 83 dead

quote:

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Note the changes in projections based on the rate of increase from italy

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I think you have a problem there now.
Tomorrow is correct for La., but it goes awry after that. projection should be (todays la total) x
(1.[italy's future day's delta %])

ETA I see what you did. You have the projection formula circling back to todays total instead of the projected total of the previous day

ETA2: Day 2 of the projection is adding 38 percent of the todays death total instead of the projected 112 total from tomorrow