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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/26/20 12PM CT Update: 2,305 Cases - 18,029 tested - 83 dead
Posted on 3/26/20 at 3:07 pm to baldona
Posted on 3/26/20 at 3:07 pm to baldona
quote:
Therefore again, we are only testing a small portion of the population that even has it.
This is a possibility. And that variable, percentage of total population infected, may be outrunning the testing by a lot. A moving target that may be shrinking or growing.
How can that variable be known if some people are being turned away from being tested? Some percentage of those people being turned away are infected and contagious and an inflated number of the people being tested are coming up positive, largely because of the test screening protocols.
I don't think we can assume those variables' differences offset. They may and they may not.
Couple this with the lag between testing and results (a confusing unknown variable at best), and the notion that we're looking at accurate "snapshots" or data points of the contagion timeline is questionable.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 3:30 pm
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