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Message
re: Baseball Preview: 2020 Season (Feb 10th - Pro Prospects & SEC Predictions)
Posted on 2/1/20 at 7:25 am to Adam4848
Posted on 2/1/20 at 7:25 am to Adam4848
CATCHER
1) Saul Garza Jr. 6’3 229 lbs (13)
2) Alex Milazzo Fr. 5’10 185 lbs (20)
3) Hayden Travinksi Fr. 6’3 224 lbs (25)
4) Braden Doughty Jr. 6’1 184lbs (45)
We’re starting to see stability and competition form with the added depth, something that has been a glaring weakness the past two seasons. Saul Garza who was one of the most improved position players over the second half of last season should start the opener. Two highly thought of freshmen step in both possessing entirely different skill sets respectively at the position. Alex Milazzo, a defensive specialist from right up the road in Zachary, and Hayden Travinksi, with MLB type power, out of Shreveport. The addition of both will give the unit instant plug and play guys with minimal limitations as well as flexibility to shift anyone around as needed.
Saul Garza’s last two falls have consisted of surgery in 2018 to repair a meniscus and surgery in 2019 to repair a hyper extended thumb. Because of this limited work prior to last season it was painfully obvious Saul fell behind schedule adjusting to D-1 pitching when he got back. It appears the surgery on the thumb was more a precautionary measure taken by the coaching staff to ensure he would be ready to go for 2020 and he’s at 100% right now. The first time since 2017 LSU will return a starting catcher which typically lends to higher productively on both offense and defense. Garza appears much more confident in the batter’s box thus far this spring. He actually hit over .400 during the final month and a half and against high caliber competition confirming that the talent was there. Because of this late season surge he actually drew interest early in the MLB draft as a draft eligible sophomore and received two offers of over 500k which he turned down to return for his junior season. The frame is what you look for in an everyday catcher and as long as he can continue to refine his glove work behind the plate and eliminate some teachable mistakes from a season ago he’s got the ability to have an ALL-SEC type year. Pop time has been improving with the work he’s put in through last summer and he has an above average arm to stay at the position this year with his bat. Power is a true plus plus tool at the college level and that was shown by multiple opposite field shots during the second half of SEC play in 2019 once he was able to settle in. Saul has such impressive upper body strength, the only thing I worry about is him overanalyzing things at times, the talent is there. He’s a fastball hunter and when he’s able to lay off breaking stuff then pitchers aren’t going to have the ability to overpower him too often. He’s got pure gap to gap power on any swing and could get close to 20 doubles. I don’t think 15/50/0.300 type season is out of the question if he’s in the heart of the order. Speed isn’t great and he’ll never be a threat to steal.
Alex Milazzo appears to be the catcher of the future and Mainieri keeping him on campus last summer jump started that process of grooming him with the current pitching staff. The MLB average pop time for a catcher (time from when the ball hits the catchers mitt to the time it is in the glove of the fielder) is 2.0 seconds. Alex in high school was averaging 1.75 to 1.85 seconds pop time +/- to account for sensitivity. I can’t find a weakness in Milazzo’s defense…the only thing I would change would be to make him 6’2 or 6’3 giving him a little more range. Arm is a plus tool and is accurate on almost every throw that I’ve seen. He’s a definite lock to start a couple games from time to time when Garza needs a break. As a line drive hitter from the right side of the plate I’d like to see him add some power over the next couple of years. He’s a very instinctive runner and above average for a catcher. Mainieri has made an emphasis to recruit and sign defensive minded catchers who can eventually blossom offensively ala Ty Ross, Michael Papierski…Milazzo appears to follow that bloodline. Depending on how the lineup comes together and if there’s another position for Garza elsewhere it shouldn’t surprise anyone to see Milazzo take over full time if the coaches feel he’s necessity behind the plate. The hitting for average needs to do a bit of catching up and that’s the only thing I can think of that would limit playing time while Garza is still on the roster.
Hayden Travinksi is one of the highest rated kids of this freshmen class and was a real threat to sign professionally. Due to signability concerns he passed on offers in day two of the draft in order to attend LSU. Travinksi’s raw power reminds me of Matt Clark ’08 but from the right side of the plate. He’s still a boom or bust guy at the plate…with this being said there’s way too much pop in that bat to ride the bench without being given a couple of starts in February and March before conference play.The presence of a Cabrea/Garza/Beloso/Travinski in the same lineup would give LSU 4 players who could hit the ball out of any park at any time and any weather condition. Because Travinski is slighty behind Milazzo defensively right now I think his fastest path to playing time is at DH/1B for now. It is still uncertain if Transinki’s long term position will be at catcher.
Braden Doughty is now a junior and will serve as the primary bullpen catcher and add depth to the position. He’ll be a typical defensive/pinch runner replacement late in ball games or mop up duty.
My take: I feel much better about the position as a unit than I have since LSU was in the championship series in 2017. Saul Garza needs to take that next step and lead this talented but inexperienced group as he holds the line so to speak for the younger guys as they get more comfortable. There’s plus plus power with Garza and Travinski. Milazzo is a true weapon behind the plate and someone that can limit what other teams do on the base paths. Garza should be a heart of the order type bat and has the potential to exponentially increase his draft stock with a good year against what will be phenomenal competition week in and week out in the SEC.
Saul Garza
Power------70
Hitting------60
Speed------40
Fielding----55
Arm---------65
POSITION ADDITIONS:
Alex Milazzo
Hayden Travinski
POSITION LOSSES:
Brock Mathis
POSITION OVERALL GRADE: 65
1) Saul Garza Jr. 6’3 229 lbs (13)
2) Alex Milazzo Fr. 5’10 185 lbs (20)
3) Hayden Travinksi Fr. 6’3 224 lbs (25)
4) Braden Doughty Jr. 6’1 184lbs (45)
We’re starting to see stability and competition form with the added depth, something that has been a glaring weakness the past two seasons. Saul Garza who was one of the most improved position players over the second half of last season should start the opener. Two highly thought of freshmen step in both possessing entirely different skill sets respectively at the position. Alex Milazzo, a defensive specialist from right up the road in Zachary, and Hayden Travinksi, with MLB type power, out of Shreveport. The addition of both will give the unit instant plug and play guys with minimal limitations as well as flexibility to shift anyone around as needed.
Saul Garza’s last two falls have consisted of surgery in 2018 to repair a meniscus and surgery in 2019 to repair a hyper extended thumb. Because of this limited work prior to last season it was painfully obvious Saul fell behind schedule adjusting to D-1 pitching when he got back. It appears the surgery on the thumb was more a precautionary measure taken by the coaching staff to ensure he would be ready to go for 2020 and he’s at 100% right now. The first time since 2017 LSU will return a starting catcher which typically lends to higher productively on both offense and defense. Garza appears much more confident in the batter’s box thus far this spring. He actually hit over .400 during the final month and a half and against high caliber competition confirming that the talent was there. Because of this late season surge he actually drew interest early in the MLB draft as a draft eligible sophomore and received two offers of over 500k which he turned down to return for his junior season. The frame is what you look for in an everyday catcher and as long as he can continue to refine his glove work behind the plate and eliminate some teachable mistakes from a season ago he’s got the ability to have an ALL-SEC type year. Pop time has been improving with the work he’s put in through last summer and he has an above average arm to stay at the position this year with his bat. Power is a true plus plus tool at the college level and that was shown by multiple opposite field shots during the second half of SEC play in 2019 once he was able to settle in. Saul has such impressive upper body strength, the only thing I worry about is him overanalyzing things at times, the talent is there. He’s a fastball hunter and when he’s able to lay off breaking stuff then pitchers aren’t going to have the ability to overpower him too often. He’s got pure gap to gap power on any swing and could get close to 20 doubles. I don’t think 15/50/0.300 type season is out of the question if he’s in the heart of the order. Speed isn’t great and he’ll never be a threat to steal.
Alex Milazzo appears to be the catcher of the future and Mainieri keeping him on campus last summer jump started that process of grooming him with the current pitching staff. The MLB average pop time for a catcher (time from when the ball hits the catchers mitt to the time it is in the glove of the fielder) is 2.0 seconds. Alex in high school was averaging 1.75 to 1.85 seconds pop time +/- to account for sensitivity. I can’t find a weakness in Milazzo’s defense…the only thing I would change would be to make him 6’2 or 6’3 giving him a little more range. Arm is a plus tool and is accurate on almost every throw that I’ve seen. He’s a definite lock to start a couple games from time to time when Garza needs a break. As a line drive hitter from the right side of the plate I’d like to see him add some power over the next couple of years. He’s a very instinctive runner and above average for a catcher. Mainieri has made an emphasis to recruit and sign defensive minded catchers who can eventually blossom offensively ala Ty Ross, Michael Papierski…Milazzo appears to follow that bloodline. Depending on how the lineup comes together and if there’s another position for Garza elsewhere it shouldn’t surprise anyone to see Milazzo take over full time if the coaches feel he’s necessity behind the plate. The hitting for average needs to do a bit of catching up and that’s the only thing I can think of that would limit playing time while Garza is still on the roster.
Hayden Travinksi is one of the highest rated kids of this freshmen class and was a real threat to sign professionally. Due to signability concerns he passed on offers in day two of the draft in order to attend LSU. Travinksi’s raw power reminds me of Matt Clark ’08 but from the right side of the plate. He’s still a boom or bust guy at the plate…with this being said there’s way too much pop in that bat to ride the bench without being given a couple of starts in February and March before conference play.The presence of a Cabrea/Garza/Beloso/Travinski in the same lineup would give LSU 4 players who could hit the ball out of any park at any time and any weather condition. Because Travinski is slighty behind Milazzo defensively right now I think his fastest path to playing time is at DH/1B for now. It is still uncertain if Transinki’s long term position will be at catcher.
Braden Doughty is now a junior and will serve as the primary bullpen catcher and add depth to the position. He’ll be a typical defensive/pinch runner replacement late in ball games or mop up duty.
My take: I feel much better about the position as a unit than I have since LSU was in the championship series in 2017. Saul Garza needs to take that next step and lead this talented but inexperienced group as he holds the line so to speak for the younger guys as they get more comfortable. There’s plus plus power with Garza and Travinski. Milazzo is a true weapon behind the plate and someone that can limit what other teams do on the base paths. Garza should be a heart of the order type bat and has the potential to exponentially increase his draft stock with a good year against what will be phenomenal competition week in and week out in the SEC.
Saul Garza
Power------70
Hitting------60
Speed------40
Fielding----55
Arm---------65
POSITION ADDITIONS:
Alex Milazzo
Hayden Travinski
POSITION LOSSES:
Brock Mathis
POSITION OVERALL GRADE: 65
This post was edited on 2/1/20 at 8:29 am
7
Posted on 2/1/20 at 7:25 am to Adam4848
FIRST BASE
1) Cade Beloso So. 6’0 227lbs (24)
2) CJ Willis So. 6’2 192lbs (23)
3) Drew Bianco So. 6’0 219lbs (5)
4) Hayden Travinksi Fr. 6’3 224lbs (25)
First base will be a strength for the Tigers in 2020, not much unexpected here. Cade Beloso who started a majority of the games here a season ago will be a day one starter and is getting more and more comfortable defensively with every rep he takes. There could be any combination of guys to follow depending on how the rest of the infield works out. CJ Willis and Drew Bianco make the most sense given their size and prior experience at the position with Hayden Travinski a dark horse to become the long term guy in years to come.
Cade Beloso returns as LSU’s 2nd leader in returning HR production and 1st in RBI’s. Beloso just a freshman a season ago was one of the more consistent hitters for LSU in long spurts and became an instant power threat from the left side of the plate. Even with this power surge he wasn't your typical cleanup type bat at least from what we saw in 2019. The work he’s put in with Eddie Smith it’s starting to refine his pitch recognition and he’s barreling up more balls where as last year his pure strength was able to make up for in times he was would got fooled. Cade's slugging percentage was lower than it should have been in 2019 because only 13 of his 61 total hits were for extra bases, with that being said Cade is a natural hitter who will always hit for a high average. Chances are more than not some of these swings are going to start turning into doubles and HR’s which I see trending up this year. If he’s around the 5 hole he’ll have plenty of opportunity to be one of the leaders in RBI’s again. Power is a plus plus tool and with his balanced and level bat path he’s going to get hits in bunches. The ball just explodes off his bat and I’m really looking forward to the progression he makes from his first to second year. Speed is below average. I didn’t think he could maintain first base from the defensive side a year ago but he’s one of the most improved gloves I’ve seen on this team and the coaches are electing to keep him there long term. Arm is average, from where he is this won’t be a liability on the infield.
CJ Willis is a guy without a true position right now. Defensively he’s best suited for a corner spot somewhere such as 1B/DH/LF and right now it just depends on what path will get him the quickest playing time. CJ’s got that MLB type frame and one of the highest ceilings of this sophomore class. To date he hasn’t shown the consistency to win a starting spot or at least enough to force the coaches no choice but to play him. He’s taking longer to develop but he’s by no means out, there will be open competition at DH/LF and Willis is athletic enough to play the outfield position if need be.
Drew Bianco has taken some reps at 1B in the past and has experience at this position.
Hayden Travinski is another big bodied corner infielder/catcher who could see time here in mop up duty if need be short term.
My take: Cade Beloso will start at first base opening night and from there I don’t expect him to change positions unless there’s an infield shift that effects multiple positions. Mainieri lead teams at 1B haven't had many power bats from the left side of the plate and when you get good one's who can hit they rarely leave the lineup. CJ Willis, Drew Bianco, and Hayden Travinksi all give you above average power from multiple sides of the plate if a platoon is needed. Cade seems to be a true 5 hole hitter who can clean up the bases if the 4 hole cannot. My hot take is I wouldn’t be surprised to see Beloso flirt with 18-20 HR’s this year.
Cade Beloso
Power------70
Hitting------60
Speed------40
Fielding----55
Arm---------50
POSITION ADDITIONS:
Hayden Travinski
POSITION LOSSES:
NONE
POSITION OVERALL GRADE: 65
1) Cade Beloso So. 6’0 227lbs (24)
2) CJ Willis So. 6’2 192lbs (23)
3) Drew Bianco So. 6’0 219lbs (5)
4) Hayden Travinksi Fr. 6’3 224lbs (25)
First base will be a strength for the Tigers in 2020, not much unexpected here. Cade Beloso who started a majority of the games here a season ago will be a day one starter and is getting more and more comfortable defensively with every rep he takes. There could be any combination of guys to follow depending on how the rest of the infield works out. CJ Willis and Drew Bianco make the most sense given their size and prior experience at the position with Hayden Travinski a dark horse to become the long term guy in years to come.
Cade Beloso returns as LSU’s 2nd leader in returning HR production and 1st in RBI’s. Beloso just a freshman a season ago was one of the more consistent hitters for LSU in long spurts and became an instant power threat from the left side of the plate. Even with this power surge he wasn't your typical cleanup type bat at least from what we saw in 2019. The work he’s put in with Eddie Smith it’s starting to refine his pitch recognition and he’s barreling up more balls where as last year his pure strength was able to make up for in times he was would got fooled. Cade's slugging percentage was lower than it should have been in 2019 because only 13 of his 61 total hits were for extra bases, with that being said Cade is a natural hitter who will always hit for a high average. Chances are more than not some of these swings are going to start turning into doubles and HR’s which I see trending up this year. If he’s around the 5 hole he’ll have plenty of opportunity to be one of the leaders in RBI’s again. Power is a plus plus tool and with his balanced and level bat path he’s going to get hits in bunches. The ball just explodes off his bat and I’m really looking forward to the progression he makes from his first to second year. Speed is below average. I didn’t think he could maintain first base from the defensive side a year ago but he’s one of the most improved gloves I’ve seen on this team and the coaches are electing to keep him there long term. Arm is average, from where he is this won’t be a liability on the infield.
CJ Willis is a guy without a true position right now. Defensively he’s best suited for a corner spot somewhere such as 1B/DH/LF and right now it just depends on what path will get him the quickest playing time. CJ’s got that MLB type frame and one of the highest ceilings of this sophomore class. To date he hasn’t shown the consistency to win a starting spot or at least enough to force the coaches no choice but to play him. He’s taking longer to develop but he’s by no means out, there will be open competition at DH/LF and Willis is athletic enough to play the outfield position if need be.
Drew Bianco has taken some reps at 1B in the past and has experience at this position.
Hayden Travinski is another big bodied corner infielder/catcher who could see time here in mop up duty if need be short term.
My take: Cade Beloso will start at first base opening night and from there I don’t expect him to change positions unless there’s an infield shift that effects multiple positions. Mainieri lead teams at 1B haven't had many power bats from the left side of the plate and when you get good one's who can hit they rarely leave the lineup. CJ Willis, Drew Bianco, and Hayden Travinksi all give you above average power from multiple sides of the plate if a platoon is needed. Cade seems to be a true 5 hole hitter who can clean up the bases if the 4 hole cannot. My hot take is I wouldn’t be surprised to see Beloso flirt with 18-20 HR’s this year.
Cade Beloso
Power------70
Hitting------60
Speed------40
Fielding----55
Arm---------50
POSITION ADDITIONS:
Hayden Travinski
POSITION LOSSES:
NONE
POSITION OVERALL GRADE: 65
This post was edited on 2/2/20 at 8:27 am
Posted on 2/1/20 at 9:29 am to Adam4848
IN
Posted on 2/1/20 at 9:55 am to Adam4848
Good stuff Adam!
El will be in here shortly to discuss your rating system
El will be in here shortly to discuss your rating system
Posted on 2/1/20 at 9:58 am to Adam4848
Few things that happen every year beyond actual LSU sports themselves get me more excited than this thread.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 8:47 am to Adam4848
Thank you. One of my favorite post every year
I thought Travinski looked good at first. He is more athletic and a bigger throwing target. Beloso is just too good to not have in the line up.
I thought Travinski looked good at first. He is more athletic and a bigger throwing target. Beloso is just too good to not have in the line up.
Posted on 2/2/20 at 8:41 pm to Adam4848
Hell yea brother
Posted on 2/3/20 at 1:04 pm to Adam4848
thank you, Adam. i havent read the whole thread yet but i am looking forward to digesting it as the main course of preparation to enjoy the 2020 season!
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