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re: Ivanka Calling Congress on Gun Control - Thin Ice Issue? Deal-Breaker for DJTs Base?

Posted on 8/14/19 at 7:04 am to
Posted by SouthernHog
Arkansas
Member since Jul 2016
6220 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 7:04 am to
Beck said it best on Friday, if Trump passes Red Flag laws his base will hold their noses to vote for him instead of the democrats. His argument is Trump supporters will lose their passion if he does this.
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 7:05 am
Posted by WorkinDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
9341 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 7:16 am to
quote:

Beck said it best on Friday, if Trump passes Red Flag laws his base will hold their noses to vote for him instead of the democrats. His argument is Trump supporters will lose their passion if he does this.



Most will, but a lot won't. He won quite a few states by slim margins.

And politically it's a horrible play. Think 1 Hillary voter will vote for Trump cause he passed gun control? Think 1 Trump voter will vote Dem cause he doesn't pass gun control? He will only lose votes, absolutely nothing to gain.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
18834 posts
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Beck said it best on Friday, if Trump passes Red Flag laws his base will hold their noses to vote for him instead of the democrats.


Beck's wrong. Look at Trumps margin for error in the key states. It is too thin to frick around with this meaningless legislation.

The closest 10 states in 2016:

1 - Michigan 0.3% margin, 13,080 votes. That is with the democrats ignoring Michigan. 38.4% of Michigan residents own guns.

2 - New Hampshire 0.4% Margin, 2,701 votes. 30% of the residents own guns.

3 - Wisconsin 1% margin, 27,257 votes. 44.4% of Wisconsin residents own guns.

4 - Pennsylvania 1.2% margin, 68,236 votes. 34.7% of Pennsylvania residents own guns.

5 - Florida 1.2% margin, 114,455 votes. 24.5% of Floridians own guns.

6 - Minnesota 1.5% margin, 44,470 votes. 41.7% gun ownership in MN.

7 - Nevada 2.4% margin, 26,434 votes. 33.8% gun ownership.

8 - Maine 2.7% margin, 19,995 votes. 40.5% gun ownership.

9 - North Carolina 3.8% margin, 177,009 votes. 41.3% gun ownership.

10 - Arizona 3.9% margin, 91,682 votes. 31.1% gun ownership.


Those margins are slim, extremely slim when overlaid with gun owners. Obviously he won't lose every gun owner's vote but the reality he will not pick up more than he loses over this BS.

People who want to see Trump re-elected (myself included) need to make sure this gets out and someone gets into his ear that this is a complete losing issue for him and he needs to ignore daddy's little girl on this one.


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