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re: I'm being offered Mike Evans for Greg Zuerlien lol, should I?
Posted on 11/8/17 at 12:55 am to DeathValley85
Posted on 11/8/17 at 12:55 am to DeathValley85
quote:
I’m confused now...this thread went sideways.
There are plenty of mainstream fantasy player types. That's what makes season-long leagues so unpredictable because so much luck is involved.
These same folks generally use rankings and per-game average as justifications/narratives.
Not hating on the casual folks by any means. Just stating a fact that most of the idiotic threads/responses come from a different crowd
Posted on 11/8/17 at 7:52 am to jimithing11
quote:
Not hating on the casual folks by any means. Just stating a fact that most of the idiotic threads/responses come from a different crowd
Generally yes. This thread is different though. Normally I’d say this thread is idiotic too. But let’s look at the numbers:
Zuerlien is averaging 3 more points per game than the 2nd best kicker. 27% more points per game than the 2nd best kicker. Compare it to the rest of the top 10 kickers now. They average slightly less than 10 points per game. Zuerlien is averaging 40% more points per game than your average starting kicker. I’ve seen kickers perform above the average, but this is insane. He’s also consistent as frick. One game outside the top 10 kickers all season
Now let’s look at Evans. Ranked number 9 on avg points per game in my half PPR league. Averaging 12.1 per game. Less than Zuerlien, but let’s compare to the average WR2, which is who he would replace in this guy’s lineup. That’s WRs 11-20 in points per game avg. They average 11.3 points per game. Looking at the differential there, replacing an average WR2 with Evans would add 0.8 per game.
0.8 per game for replacing an average WR2 with Evans. But getting rid of Zuerlien and replacing him with your average starting kicker (assuming he can find the average on the waiver wire), he loses 4 per game. Total change in the trade is -3.2 points per game
Edit: on top of that, Evans is suspended for one game, his offense and team are trending down at a very rapid rate, he’s lost his QB to injury for several games, and between his next game and week 16 (end to most fantasy leagues) he plays 4/6 on the road
This post was edited on 11/8/17 at 7:57 am
Posted on 11/8/17 at 8:19 am to jimithing11
Ok well despite all the super elite Mensa member FF posters calling us morons, the math says I would have lost at least 3 games this year replacing greg’s production with evans’. So I’ll keep being a “mainstreamer” and winning and you can have the overrated POS WR on a shite team with a disastrous QB situation.
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