re: Has any official said “we ain’t found no motive yet” regarding Vegas?

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But if the entire story is that he's a loner nutjob it doesn't take 3 weeks to determine as much

Uh, wut?

That conclusion would only be reached after exhausting all other possibilities. It's essentially saying there was no motive. It could take working through months or years of leads for them to accept that.

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I would think it will take a few years to compile everything and draw a conclusion based on other FBI cases less complicated than this one, there have been dozens that took 10-20 years to solve.