re: How much would single payer cost?

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In sum, it would be about a wash.

Shifting the money from premiums to taxes makes the taxes look big and scary, but you guys always forget to mention that you'd no longer be paying premiums.

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Wrong. Due to the poor overall quality of government run healthcare, those who could afford it would be paying for private insurance in addition to higher taxes. It's analogous to government schools. Those who can afford it, send their kids to private schools due to the poor quality of public schools in many areas. As such the parents are paying a public school tax and "premiums" to send their kinds to private schools.