- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Tigers are -6.5 against state...Updated with win probability
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:40 am
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:40 am
I thought it would be more than a touchdown, but I guess that's reason #32 I'm not an odds maker.
Edit: For what it's worth (which is absolutely nothing), here is the win probability from OddsShark.com:
Odds Shark
Edit: For what it's worth (which is absolutely nothing), here is the win probability from OddsShark.com:
Odds Shark
This post was edited on 9/11/17 at 11:57 am
18
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:41 am to KC Tiger
Seems more or less right, given that home field is usually worth about 3 to the home team.
This post was edited on 9/11/17 at 10:42 am
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:41 am to KC Tiger
It opened at 3.5!
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:41 am to KC Tiger
Seems about right. It's almost always a close game in StarkVegas.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:42 am to KC Tiger
If I were a betting man, I'd toss a 100 on it.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:43 am to KC Tiger
Seems right. If the penalties don't get addressed it could keep MSU in the game.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:44 am to KC Tiger
Too low. It will be greater than just 6.5 points.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:44 am to KC Tiger
seems right...vegas knows how to get money coming in on both sides
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:45 am to KC Tiger
Considering the last few matchups between these two, I'd say that's a fair spread.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:48 am to KC Tiger
I think LSU covers 6.5 pretty easily. IMO, should be around 8.5.
Mississippi State had a blocked punt for TD, LA Tech was inside the 10 and fumbled for a scoop and score, LA Tech was inside the 10 and LOST 87 YARDS.
That game against LT could have easily been like 43-35 or 50-35
ETA: What people fail to realize is the last 2 meetings have been a relative blowout early, only for LSU go insanely conservative (even for them) and allow MSU to comeback. If we have a team that gets a lead and keeps the pedal on the gas (which all signs point to yes), then I expect a 2 TD victory
Mississippi State had a blocked punt for TD, LA Tech was inside the 10 and fumbled for a scoop and score, LA Tech was inside the 10 and LOST 87 YARDS.
That game against LT could have easily been like 43-35 or 50-35
ETA: What people fail to realize is the last 2 meetings have been a relative blowout early, only for LSU go insanely conservative (even for them) and allow MSU to comeback. If we have a team that gets a lead and keeps the pedal on the gas (which all signs point to yes), then I expect a 2 TD victory
This post was edited on 9/11/17 at 10:51 am
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:49 am to KC Tiger
Think about it this way:
A team that's won 49-0 and 57-21 is a touchdown underdog at home. On a neutral field they would be a 10 point underdog. Vegas doesn't think too highly of their "great" wins
A team that's won 49-0 and 57-21 is a touchdown underdog at home. On a neutral field they would be a 10 point underdog. Vegas doesn't think too highly of their "great" wins
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:52 am to KC Tiger
LSU has not soundly defeated State in a while. State is good at home. State has the second best QB in the conference and has what appears to be a great defense.
I'm actually surprised the line is not closer to -3 LSU.
I'm actually surprised the line is not closer to -3 LSU.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:52 am to KC Tiger
It's too low imo
Posted on 9/11/17 at 10:59 am to KC Tiger
So we are going to win 6.5 - 0?
I think our offense can put up more points than that.
I think our offense can put up more points than that.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 11:02 am to KC Tiger
Just right. State is a talented team this year with a very good qb and they're at home.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 11:04 am to KC Tiger
6.5 over here too. I backed us, I think it's an easy cover.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 11:47 am to KC Tiger
just a hair too low. I'm putting money on LSU covering.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 11:50 am to KC Tiger
I'd say just right. We haven't played anybody to prove we should be more than a touchdown favorite in an SEC road game.
Posted on 9/11/17 at 12:24 pm to KC Tiger
Only reason we're not a two-score favorite is it's in Starkville.
Tigers cover.
Tigers cover.
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News