re: 50/50 chance - Wrong 90+% of the time

quote:

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I can't believe that I'm the only one who just chooses *wrong* almost every time...

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You're not, you just remember it more when you do choose wrong.

This reminds me of those who play blackjack and swear that the dude at the table who doesn't know when to hit/stand always negatively effects how much money they make or would have made if he weren't at the table. The reality, the probability over the long run doesn't change, but you just remember the times the dude makes a dumb move that screws you, you tend to forget all the times his dumb moves helped you.