re: Mike Evans over Odell

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My only counter would be how Tampa is constructed this year. Watching Hard Knocks, Dirk seems to hammer home the fact that TB has the chance to be good on defense and how he wants Jameis to limit mistakes.

Perhaps with the addition of DJax and Howard, Evans gets fewer targets and Jameis is more conservative, kind of like Dak is/was with Dez (in terms of not force feeding).

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Right

TB has been top 8 in rush attempts in Koetter's first two seasons.

In the first 4 weeks last season Winston threw the ball an average of 44 times, they went 1-4. That dipped to 32 times after they changed their philosophy to more run oriented and efficient. Check Evans first 8 games vs his last 8 (55/745/8 vs 41/576/4) Evans was huge on volume last year after losing ASF and VJax. Martin being hurt

Also, Evans turned in another sub 56% catch rate (3 straight years). TB made DJax highest paid WR in FA. A significant loss of volume will harm Evans. Drafted chris Godwin and OJ too

Then there is this, something Odell is miles ahead on

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inability to create after the catch, where he has ranked 102nd/110, 101st/119, and 112nd/118 in PFF’s yards after catch per reception since entering the league

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I would bet a significant amount of money Odell outpaces Evans this season

Odell's next gen stats have proven the last 3 seasons he is the most talented WR in football, even with Eli being garbage.