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re: Let's discuss the Monty Hall problem (probabilities, odds)
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:41 am to deuceiswild
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:41 am to deuceiswild
quote:
Then he asks you if you want to swap to the remaining unknown door... Now is it more clear that you should indeed swap?
My chances that I was lucky enough to guess correct the first time went from 33% to just 1% in yours.
Guessing 1 out of 3 is presumably doable. Guessing 1 out of 100 is a lot more rare.
This post was edited on 8/12/17 at 2:43 am
1
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:44 am to fightin tigers
My only point was to make it plainly obvious why you should always swap, not to explain the math behind it.
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