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re: Who Should I Keep?

Posted on 8/2/17 at 4:03 pm to
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8440 posts
Posted on 8/2/17 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Well that depends on his draft position but with 20-24good to great players off the board before the draft even starts, getting an elite player even at the top of the draft can be extremely difficult In a normal draft, yes Julio is likely there in the mid to late first, but with these keeper rules, I would guess the Uber elite dudes like Odell, Bell, Johnson, etc are already being kept so if you let Julio go into the draft pool he's probably going as the top pick, and all it takes is one guy ahead of you that didn't keep a first round pick and you are out of Julio and out of a huge draft talent


Losing Julio may happen, and that's okay.

You are picking up so much equity by keeping Gurley in the 5th as a 2nd/3rd rounder and Thomas in the 11th as a 2nd rounder that you can take a slight downgrade from Julio with your first rounder.
Posted by Peazey
Metry
Member since Apr 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 8/2/17 at 4:35 pm to
It really just depends what everyone else is keeping and what slot you are picking. That first that you are gaining by giving up Julio could conceivably turn into a significant downgrade from Julio to someone like Golden Tate or DT88 or Carlos Hyde. Those are players who you are ranked around 30-36 which is what you could be looking at gaining by getting rid of Julio and keeping the first pick.

There's no way to really know either way what the right decision would be without knowing more details about how his league would play out, and it's probably unfeasible to explain that all here anyway. There's a lot of factors at play to try to guess what decisions this dudes league-mates might make in who they keep.
This post was edited on 8/2/17 at 4:39 pm
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