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2017 Undervalued Breakout/Sleeper Picks
Posted on 6/16/17 at 8:58 am
Posted on 6/16/17 at 8:58 am
Who are players you're looking to draft who are being undervalued or who you think will be breakout sleepers?
A couple of guys I'm targeting:
Lamar Miller - (3rd round) Lamar keeps falling to me in the third and I think he's wildly undervalued. Last year was an anomaly as I think he finishes top 7 at the position.
Isaiah Crowell - (3rd-4th round) same thing as Lamar, except Crowell actually played well last year. Browns have improved the O-line and Crowell will finish top 10 at rb.
Keenan Allen - (5th round) he's been injury prone but last year was a lacerated spleen, that's not an injury that hinders his running/catchin ability and doen't make him injury prone. Two consecutive years of injures (again, last year's was a freak accident) has him way undervalued. He's a solid Wr2 with the ability to be a top 5-10 WR.
Coby Fleener - he was a bust last year, but with Cooks getting moved and another year in the system I think he takes a big step forward. He'll be around at the tail end of your draft which is when I tend to draft TE anyway.
DeVante Parker - I was big on Landry the past two years thinking he'd be the go-to WR in Miami but it sounds like Parker is going to be the guy who makes noise this year, and for some reason he's still going low on draft boards.
Samaje Perine/Joe Mixon - both of these guys are going to be taking over the lead back role on their respective rosters and while Mixon has gotten a lot of noise Perine should also excel.
A couple of guys I'm targeting:
Lamar Miller - (3rd round) Lamar keeps falling to me in the third and I think he's wildly undervalued. Last year was an anomaly as I think he finishes top 7 at the position.
Isaiah Crowell - (3rd-4th round) same thing as Lamar, except Crowell actually played well last year. Browns have improved the O-line and Crowell will finish top 10 at rb.
Keenan Allen - (5th round) he's been injury prone but last year was a lacerated spleen, that's not an injury that hinders his running/catchin ability and doen't make him injury prone. Two consecutive years of injures (again, last year's was a freak accident) has him way undervalued. He's a solid Wr2 with the ability to be a top 5-10 WR.
Coby Fleener - he was a bust last year, but with Cooks getting moved and another year in the system I think he takes a big step forward. He'll be around at the tail end of your draft which is when I tend to draft TE anyway.
DeVante Parker - I was big on Landry the past two years thinking he'd be the go-to WR in Miami but it sounds like Parker is going to be the guy who makes noise this year, and for some reason he's still going low on draft boards.
Samaje Perine/Joe Mixon - both of these guys are going to be taking over the lead back role on their respective rosters and while Mixon has gotten a lot of noise Perine should also excel.
This post was edited on 6/16/17 at 9:00 am
5
Posted on 6/16/17 at 9:39 am to BigOrangeVols
For reference, here are the ADPs of these players. All data is from MFL, which is the most active format at this time of year.
Lamar Miller- 34
Isaiah Crowell- 43
Keenan Allen- 37
Coby Fleener- 168
DeVante Parker- 73
Joe Mixon- 29
Samaje Perine- 89
Lamar Miller- 34
Isaiah Crowell- 43
Keenan Allen- 37
Coby Fleener- 168
DeVante Parker- 73
Joe Mixon- 29
Samaje Perine- 89
Posted on 6/16/17 at 10:21 am to BigOrangeVols
Some sneaky WR1 on their team going mid to late
Garçon, Pierre
Woods, Robert
Conley, Chris
Garçon, Pierre
Woods, Robert
Conley, Chris
Posted on 6/16/17 at 10:36 am to BigOrangeVols
Undervalued
Emmanuel Sanders - bottom line #s the past 3 years are 76/1,013/5. ~WR24 on most rankings. I expect their QB play to improve slightly.
Fitz - led the league in receptions last year. don't see him falling off significantly unless Palmer goes down.
Moncrief - undervalued due to injuries. Good bounce back candidate.
Enunwa - no one else in NY. You can get him very late.
Overvalued:
Alshon - injuries plus a new offense with a 2nd year QB. Definitely would rather have Sanders at a better price.
Danny Woodhead - SD was a great place for Woodhead. Don't see him thriving in BAL with Flacco and 2 other backs they are invested in.
Garçon - Argument can be made that they don't have anyone else to throw to. I think someone like Enunwa, who can be taken much later, has a higher ceiling.
Emmanuel Sanders - bottom line #s the past 3 years are 76/1,013/5. ~WR24 on most rankings. I expect their QB play to improve slightly.
Fitz - led the league in receptions last year. don't see him falling off significantly unless Palmer goes down.
Moncrief - undervalued due to injuries. Good bounce back candidate.
Enunwa - no one else in NY. You can get him very late.
Overvalued:
Alshon - injuries plus a new offense with a 2nd year QB. Definitely would rather have Sanders at a better price.
Danny Woodhead - SD was a great place for Woodhead. Don't see him thriving in BAL with Flacco and 2 other backs they are invested in.
Garçon - Argument can be made that they don't have anyone else to throw to. I think someone like Enunwa, who can be taken much later, has a higher ceiling.
Posted on 6/23/17 at 10:58 pm to BigOrangeVols
quote:
Keenan Allen - (5th round) he's been injury prone but last year was a lacerated spleen, that's not an injury that hinders his running/catchin ability and doen't make him injury prone. Two consecutive years of injures (again, last year's was a freak accident) has him way undervalued. He's a solid Wr2 with the ability to be a top 5-10 WR.
Was an ACL last year, spleen the year before. Slightly different scenarios there.
Posted on 6/24/17 at 10:47 am to BigOrangeVols
By August Crowell will be late 2nd
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