re: The Lebron hate is seriously ridiculous...

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No, but of course if you're going to call out my use of statistics then maybe you should provide some support or it. I

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When it's obvious you don't need to provide much support...

You're removing the best player on the team who has the ball a majority of the time and takes up a pretty good chunk of cap room. Then you replace him with an average player. Then you use the stats from the team with him on it which has an effect on how they play and what their stats are because of him and extrapolate from there. That's just ridiculous.

You're severely overestimating the predictive value of your models. Using stats to predict the win total for a team that never existed is sketchy at best. It's no more proof then me saying they would win more than 45...

You're just as bad as the people who took the -12 +/- number from game three when Lebron was sitting and extrapolated it. Are they worse with him on the bench? Of course. But are they -12 in 2 minutes worse. Probably fricking not.

I'm also laughing at you for throwing this in there

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I do have a master's degree in statistics

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ETA: oh and I forgot to add the little thing about we're talking about the team with Lebron not the team without Lebron