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re: Updated Baseball "Bracketology": LSU Currently Regional Host as 12 Seed
Posted on 5/16/17 at 9:39 am to Alt26
Posted on 5/16/17 at 9:39 am to Alt26
quote:TT is way too low. Beat TCU 2 out of 3 and TCU just lost a series to Oklahoma. Kentucky is also too high. If this is how you think it'll play out, remember that Kentucky and UF play this weekend. One will drop the other. No way they finish that close.
1. UNC
2. Florida
3. Oregon St.
4. Kentucky
5. Louisville
6. TCU
7. LSU
8. Texas Tech
Posted on 5/16/17 at 10:25 am to ell_13
quote:
TT is way too low. Beat TCU 2 out of 3 and TCU just lost a series to Oklahoma. Kentucky is also too high. If this is how you think it'll play out, remember that Kentucky and UF play this weekend. One will drop the other. No way they finish that close.
It's a snapshot of right now. Obviously, that could change this weekend. I'd probably flip TTU and TCU, not so much because of head-to-head, but TTU has a better record away from home.
Kentucky has a lot going for them:
1. Tied (with LSU) for most wins over RPI top 50
2. Overall SOS (#9) is better than everyone in contention for a national seed except LSU and UF. That number is only going to get better this weekend by playing UF 3 times.
3. Non-conf. SOS (29) is MUCH better than: TTU, Oregon St., Louisville, TCU, Clemson, etc.
The biggest knock against UK is that they haven't been great away from home or in non-conf. play. That's why their overall RPI is a bit lower than TTU, TCU, Louisville
If playing and beating good teams is more important that who you lose to, then Kentucky IMO should be at least a top 5 seed (if the season ended today). Until the turd they laid at UGA recently, they had only lost 2 series all year @ UNC and @ Miss. St. Those are definitely forgivable
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