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re: .
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:55 pm to stat19
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:55 pm to stat19
At 8:30 I knew he won, and I'm an idiot.
We didn't need Nate to tell us what we were seeing with our eyes. Also, he just said it. It wasn't his model. It wasn't a write up. Anyway at 8:30 on the night of, it's way too late to undo all of his defensive blustering
We didn't need Nate to tell us what we were seeing with our eyes. Also, he just said it. It wasn't his model. It wasn't a write up. Anyway at 8:30 on the night of, it's way too late to undo all of his defensive blustering
This post was edited on 11/10/16 at 1:57 pm
1
Posted on 11/10/16 at 2:05 pm to DelU249
quote:The model was actually updated based on election calls and the correlated errors with each state.
It wasn't his model.
quote:You mean the defensive blustering defending Trump having decent odds after Huffington Post said it was much lower?
it's way too late to undo all of his defensive blustering
More importantly, considering the polling data, the popular vote split, and the slim margins in the states in the a lot of stages that tipped the election, what is outrageous about a ~ 30% of these circumstances. Trump had to tip those states, and he did so by pretty slim margins; it's not a scenario that is very common, although clearly very possible.
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