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Started By
Message
re: .
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:23 pm to buckeye_vol
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:23 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
buckeye_vol
quote:
Nate
1
Posted on 11/10/16 at 1:59 pm to tagatose
quote:
Midget death squad
quote:What is so funny? He gave Trump an almost 30% chance of winning and was criticized by many on the left for giving Trump that chance. He even discussed the possibility of the Popular Vote-EC split that occured, and gave that single scenario a better chance of occurring than most other models gave Trump winning across all possible outcomes.
tagatose
The Odds Of An Electoral College-Popular Vote Split Are Increasing
Now unless your criticisms are Nassim Taleb's criticism that the data would be better modeled as a Weiner Process/Brownian Motion/Stochastic process--in which case the even election model (for every election) would hover around 50/50 until right before the election--then what are your criticisms?
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