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re: tOfficial Nate Silver fail thread
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:01 pm to bamarep
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:01 pm to bamarep
quote:But that's the whole purpose of the model. Now it over to grading the accuracy of the pollsters. So the pollsters who were spot on (Selzer) will be rightfully lauded.
The problem was Nate's method was using polls that were absolute bull shite.
quote:They were flawed, but they weren't "made up" like you argued.
Some of us tried to tell y'all that but you wouldn't listen.
In fact, with Clinton likely to win the popular vote by over a percent (once the last votes are added in CA and other blue states), the National polls will only be off by a couple points. Interestingly LATIMES will probably have one of the biggest misses.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:04 pm
1
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:20 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
They were flawed, but they weren't "made up" like you argued.
How do you type that with a straight face?
A poll is supposed to be a 'snapshot' of what a particular group is feeling at that moment in time. So if its 'flawed' then the results are MADE UP! Because it purposefully does not do, what it is supposed to do: show what the electorate was thinking
And when I say made up, I mean to oversample minorities, white women, college grads is seeking to get a specific result, and not realistically looking for the actual snapshot
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