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Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:01 pm to bamarep
quote:But that's the whole purpose of the model. Now it over to grading the accuracy of the pollsters. So the pollsters who were spot on (Selzer) will be rightfully lauded.
The problem was Nate's method was using polls that were absolute bull shite.
quote:They were flawed, but they weren't "made up" like you argued.
Some of us tried to tell y'all that but you wouldn't listen.
In fact, with Clinton likely to win the popular vote by over a percent (once the last votes are added in CA and other blue states), the National polls will only be off by a couple points. Interestingly LATIMES will probably have one of the biggest misses.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:04 pm
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:17 pm to bamarep
quote:
The problem was Nate's method was using polls that were absolute bullshite. Some of us tried to tell y'all that but you wouldn't listen.
In their defense, a lot of people got egg on their face last cycle when they tried to "unskew" the polls but that time they turned out to be pretty accurate. That lead to the Karl Rove melt and Nate Bronze's reputation.
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