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re: tOfficial Nate Silver fail thread
Posted on 11/9/16 at 11:17 am to RobbBobb
Posted on 11/9/16 at 11:17 am to RobbBobb
quote:So given the polling information, Trump losing the popular vote, and the margins in swing states, what do you think the probability of this outcome was beforehand?
There will be a few luddites that will be on here shortly to tell you that Nate Velcro was within 30% of getting it right, so he was essentially the closest to reality
2
Posted on 11/9/16 at 5:45 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
what do you think the probability of this outcome was beforehand?
I have been telling you since Day 1 that I had the same info as Nate, and was banking on a Trump win. Trump had the same numbers as Nate, and knew that Penn, Mich, and Wisc was winnable and went there. Clintonistas used Nates 'view' and never went one time to Wisc. Not once
Yet Nate had Trump at 15%, around a week out.
Sorry his algorithm is shite, and biased. Based on voting patterns that he pines for, not what is fairly well known thru research. Basically, hes lazy
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:04 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
o given the polling information
You said that wasn't rigged.
Lolzy.
quote:
buckeye_vol
Beg waiting for you to show up
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