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Teams Still Alive For Playoff (6 Remain; Colo Okla Out) (W/ Odds & Scenarios)
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:46 pm
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:46 pm
I'll update this each week as teams play their way out of playoff consideration. Obviously a million things would have to happen for a team like UNC or WSU to make it but technically they're still alive. Teams in italics will be eliminated with another loss. Now included are percentages a team makes the playoffs IF they win the rest of their games 538 College Football Predictions. Now included are scenarios for each team and what needs to happen to make the playoffs. Also included are odds each team makes playoffs.
ACC
#3 Clemson 99%- win out. -530
BIG 10
#2 OSU 90%- Should be in
#6 Wisconsin 82%- win out, need Clem loss +195
#7 Penn State 21%- win Big 10, Clem loss +700
SEC
#1 Alabama IN
PAC 12
#4 Washington 94%- IN
ACC
#3 Clemson 99%- win out. -530
BIG 10
#2 OSU 90%- Should be in
#6 Wisconsin 82%- win out, need Clem loss +195
#7 Penn State 21%- win Big 10, Clem loss +700
SEC
#1 Alabama IN
PAC 12
#4 Washington 94%- IN
This post was edited on 12/2/16 at 11:25 pm
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:51 pm to zzgobucky
quote:
VT
quote:
Oklahoma
quote:
LSU
Auburn
quote:
Wisconsin
quote:
Boise St
Houston
quote:
Utah Colorado Washington St
lol wut
This post was edited on 10/22/16 at 6:54 pm
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:53 pm to zzgobucky
Anybody but UCLA and Arizona can still win the Pac South. And ergo the conference. But all you have is two teams.
Are you saying if the Pac champ has 1 loss or more, they can't represent that region of the country on a Natty stage?
This is why it's still not a playoff.
Basketball gives conference champions golden tickets. You are rewarded for winning something during the season.
Are you saying if the Pac champ has 1 loss or more, they can't represent that region of the country on a Natty stage?
This is why it's still not a playoff.
Basketball gives conference champions golden tickets. You are rewarded for winning something during the season.
This post was edited on 10/22/16 at 6:54 pm
Posted on 10/22/16 at 7:13 pm to zzgobucky
It's going to be
#1 Alabama vs. #4 Washington
#2 Ohio St vs. #3 Clemson
#1 Alabama vs. #2 Ohio St
#1 Alabama
#1 Alabama vs. #4 Washington
#2 Ohio St vs. #3 Clemson
#1 Alabama vs. #2 Ohio St
#1 Alabama
Posted on 10/22/16 at 7:44 pm to zzgobucky
There's Bama and a bunch of nobodys.
Posted on 10/22/16 at 9:27 pm to zzgobucky
You might as well italicize Baylor and West Virginia.
ANY loss will eliminate them from playoff consideration.
ANY loss will eliminate them from playoff consideration.
Posted on 10/22/16 at 9:46 pm to zzgobucky
Houston's very slim chances now 0
Posted on 10/25/16 at 2:38 pm to zzgobucky
Key Games this Week
#25 Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
#10 West Virginia at Oklahoma State
#4 Washington at #17 Utah
#8 Baylor at Texas
#14 Florida vs Georgia
#7 Nebraska at #11 Wisconsin
#15 Auburn at Ole Miss
#3 Clemson at #12 Florida State
I see VT and FSU eliminated this week, Nebraska and West Virginia losing as well
#25 Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
#10 West Virginia at Oklahoma State
#4 Washington at #17 Utah
#8 Baylor at Texas
#14 Florida vs Georgia
#7 Nebraska at #11 Wisconsin
#15 Auburn at Ole Miss
#3 Clemson at #12 Florida State
I see VT and FSU eliminated this week, Nebraska and West Virginia losing as well
Posted on 10/29/16 at 11:31 pm to zzgobucky
Ohio state italics for 1 more loss
Posted on 10/29/16 at 11:48 pm to zzgobucky
Realistic CFP:
1. SEC Champ
2. B1G Champ
3. ACC Champ
4. Pac12 Champ
Actual CFP:
1. SEC Champion named Alabama
2. B1G Champion named Michigan or Ohio State
3. Undefeated Clemson
4. Undefeated Washington
*5. SEC Champion Not named Alabama
*6. Alabama
*7. B1G Champion not named Michigan or Ohio State
*8. Michigan / Ohio State Winner, or Clemson
* = These replace any of the four above
1. SEC Champ
2. B1G Champ
3. ACC Champ
4. Pac12 Champ
Actual CFP:
1. SEC Champion named Alabama
2. B1G Champion named Michigan or Ohio State
3. Undefeated Clemson
4. Undefeated Washington
*5. SEC Champion Not named Alabama
*6. Alabama
*7. B1G Champion not named Michigan or Ohio State
*8. Michigan / Ohio State Winner, or Clemson
* = These replace any of the four above
Posted on 10/30/16 at 12:18 am to zzgobucky
quote:
Teams Still Alive For College Playoff
quote:
SEC
#1 Alabama
#10 Texas A&M
#12 Florida
#19 LSU
#17 Auburn
I will LMAO if UF makes it in
Posted on 10/30/16 at 12:21 am to zzgobucky
Why is a higher rated Auburn team listed below LSU?
This post was edited on 10/30/16 at 12:22 am
Posted on 10/30/16 at 12:34 am to zzgobucky
quote:
#12 Florida
Should be in italics, because if they lose, they're out.
quote:
#8 OSU
Should also be in italics, but because of that weird bit that Michigan isn't going to lose outside of tOSU game. Technically, that could leave them in it, but there are so many things that would need to happen to get them in as well.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 7:23 pm to zzgobucky
Updated to include tonight's rankings. Penn State and Colorado big winners to me especially Colorado. If they win out including beating an undefeated Washington in the PAC 12 championship game will give them a legit argument. The Big 12 as a whole are the losers. It looks like Oklahoma will be their only shot at the playoffs.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 7:25 pm to zzgobucky
Ohio State can't lose another game and make it
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:23 pm to zzgobucky
Updated to included odds each team has to make playoffs if they win out (link in OP). I'm surprised at how high Wash St is, almost 50%. Also I think Auburn and LSU are too low. Both should be at least 95%. I suppose LSU should be a little lower because they could still win out but not make the SEC conference championship if Auburn wins out as well.
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:25 pm to zzgobucky
Where is Western Michigan?
Shouldn't they have a .01% chance?
Shouldn't they have a .01% chance?
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:33 pm to zzgobucky
Texas A&M out after loss to Miss State. Big win for Wisconsin, should win out and face either Mich or OSU again assuming Nebraska loses one more
Posted on 11/13/16 at 9:47 am to zzgobucky
Updated OP to include most likely scenarios for each team to make it
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