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Teams Still Alive For Playoff (6 Remain; Colo Okla Out) (W/ Odds & Scenarios)

Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:46 pm
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:46 pm
I'll update this each week as teams play their way out of playoff consideration. Obviously a million things would have to happen for a team like UNC or WSU to make it but technically they're still alive. Teams in italics will be eliminated with another loss. Now included are percentages a team makes the playoffs IF they win the rest of their games 538 College Football Predictions. Now included are scenarios for each team and what needs to happen to make the playoffs. Also included are odds each team makes playoffs.
ACC
#3 Clemson 99%- win out. -530

BIG 10
#2 OSU 90%- Should be in
#6 Wisconsin 82%- win out, need Clem loss +195
#7 Penn State 21%- win Big 10, Clem loss +700

SEC
#1 Alabama IN

PAC 12
#4 Washington 94%- IN

This post was edited on 12/2/16 at 11:25 pm
Posted by StraightCashHomey21
Aberdeen,NC
Member since Jul 2009
125475 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:51 pm to
quote:

VT

quote:

Oklahoma
quote:

LSU
Auburn


quote:

Wisconsin


quote:

Boise St
Houston



quote:

Utah Colorado Washington St


lol wut
This post was edited on 10/22/16 at 6:54 pm
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35626 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 6:53 pm to
Anybody but UCLA and Arizona can still win the Pac South. And ergo the conference. But all you have is two teams.

Are you saying if the Pac champ has 1 loss or more, they can't represent that region of the country on a Natty stage?

This is why it's still not a playoff.

Basketball gives conference champions golden tickets. You are rewarded for winning something during the season.
This post was edited on 10/22/16 at 6:54 pm
Posted by hsfolk
Member since Sep 2009
18576 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 7:13 pm to
It's going to be
#1 Alabama vs. #4 Washington
#2 Ohio St vs. #3 Clemson

#1 Alabama vs. #2 Ohio St

#1 Alabama
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119511 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 7:44 pm to
There's Bama and a bunch of nobodys.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80460 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 9:27 pm to
You might as well italicize Baylor and West Virginia.

ANY loss will eliminate them from playoff consideration.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 9:46 pm to
Houston's very slim chances now 0
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 10/25/16 at 2:38 pm to
Key Games this Week

#25 Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
#10 West Virginia at Oklahoma State
#4 Washington at #17 Utah
#8 Baylor at Texas
#14 Florida vs Georgia
#7 Nebraska at #11 Wisconsin
#15 Auburn at Ole Miss
#3 Clemson at #12 Florida State

I see VT and FSU eliminated this week, Nebraska and West Virginia losing as well
Posted by SpartyGator
Detroit Lions fan
Member since Oct 2011
75631 posts
Posted on 10/25/16 at 2:55 pm to
Posted by JETigER
LSU 2011 National Champions
Member since Dec 2003
7081 posts
Posted on 10/29/16 at 11:31 pm to
Ohio state italics for 1 more loss
Posted by GoldenGuy
Member since Oct 2015
10899 posts
Posted on 10/29/16 at 11:48 pm to
Realistic CFP:
1. SEC Champ
2. B1G Champ
3. ACC Champ
4. Pac12 Champ

Actual CFP:
1. SEC Champion named Alabama
2. B1G Champion named Michigan or Ohio State
3. Undefeated Clemson
4. Undefeated Washington
*5. SEC Champion Not named Alabama
*6. Alabama
*7. B1G Champion not named Michigan or Ohio State
*8. Michigan / Ohio State Winner, or Clemson

* = These replace any of the four above
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
52283 posts
Posted on 10/30/16 at 12:18 am to
quote:

Teams Still Alive For College Playoff


quote:

SEC
#1 Alabama
#10 Texas A&M
#12 Florida
#19 LSU
#17 Auburn


I will LMAO if UF makes it in
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46216 posts
Posted on 10/30/16 at 12:21 am to
Why is a higher rated Auburn team listed below LSU?
This post was edited on 10/30/16 at 12:22 am
Posted by GoldenGuy
Member since Oct 2015
10899 posts
Posted on 10/30/16 at 12:34 am to
quote:

#12 Florida


Should be in italics, because if they lose, they're out.

quote:

#8 OSU


Should also be in italics, but because of that weird bit that Michigan isn't going to lose outside of tOSU game. Technically, that could leave them in it, but there are so many things that would need to happen to get them in as well.
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 7:23 pm to
Updated to include tonight's rankings. Penn State and Colorado big winners to me especially Colorado. If they win out including beating an undefeated Washington in the PAC 12 championship game will give them a legit argument. The Big 12 as a whole are the losers. It looks like Oklahoma will be their only shot at the playoffs.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
59328 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 7:25 pm to
Ohio State can't lose another game and make it
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:23 pm to
Updated to included odds each team has to make playoffs if they win out (link in OP). I'm surprised at how high Wash St is, almost 50%. Also I think Auburn and LSU are too low. Both should be at least 95%. I suppose LSU should be a little lower because they could still win out but not make the SEC conference championship if Auburn wins out as well.
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
28895 posts
Posted on 11/1/16 at 9:25 pm to
Where is Western Michigan?

Shouldn't they have a .01% chance?
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 11/5/16 at 2:33 pm to
Texas A&M out after loss to Miss State. Big win for Wisconsin, should win out and face either Mich or OSU again assuming Nebraska loses one more
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1741 posts
Posted on 11/13/16 at 9:47 am to
Updated OP to include most likely scenarios for each team to make it
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