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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:36 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85467 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:36 pm to
There is always a chance forecasting things like this, but essentially all of the relevant models suggest it will begin a northeast movement so even getting to 90' west may not mean much since it is so far south and the northeast movement seems to be the consensus.



On another note, the system looks much more recognizable as a tropical system today, although shear continues to be an issue in the northwest quadrant. The center appears slightly to cross through 23N and 84W about 2 hours ago in this gif.



ETA: Based on the ongoing recon mission, the low level center of circulation actually seems to be in the northwestern extremes of the convection.
This post was edited on 8/29/16 at 1:58 pm
Posted by Theboot32
Member since Jan 2016
2435 posts
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

There is always a chance forecasting things like this, but essentially all of the relevant models suggest it will begin a northeast movement so even getting to 90' west may not mean much since it is so far south and the northeast movement seems to be the consensus.



gotcha

how will intensity affect track? Will a weaker storm normally go farther west?
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