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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:44 pm to purplepylon
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:44 pm to purplepylon
Notice how it very quickly dissapates just as it moves on shore. Very much like hurricane Carmen in 1974 and hurricane lily in 2002. Both of those hit almost the same exact location. Both of those hurricanes whipped up to very intense hurricanes but began rapidly weakening just before landfall and did relatively little damage. They have done studies to try to figure out why certain storms do that as they move onto the north gulf coast. Even Katrina did this. It just happened to be so strong to begin with that even with the rapid de-intensification prior to landfall it didn't give itself enough time to weaken before it obviously did lots of damage. But believe it or not Katrina could have been much much worse. There is a huge difference between cat 5 and cat 3.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:52 pm
4
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:47 pm to otowntiger
It just depends on the conditions and what cycle the storm is on.
A lot of the storms that hit LA are being turned north by a trough that chokes off their outflow from the west.
A lot of the storms that hit LA are being turned north by a trough that chokes off their outflow from the west.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:48 pm to otowntiger
quote:
Notice how it very quickly dissapates just as it moves on shore. Very much like hurricane Carmen in 1974 and hurricane lily in 2002. Both of those hit almost the same exact location. Both of those hurricanes whipped up to very intense hurricanes but began rapidly weakening just before landfall and did relatively little damage. They have done studies to try to figure out why certain storms do that as they move onto the north gulf coast. Even Katrina did this. It just happened to be soon strong to begin with that even with the rapid de-intensification prior to landfall it didn't give itself enough time to weaken before it obviously did lots of damage. But believe it or not Katrina could have been much much worse. There is a huge difference between cat 5 and cat 3.
Katrina had cat 5 storm surge. That's what did in Nola. Of course it could have been worse, but that was a once in a lifetime type storm.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:49 pm to otowntiger
quote:
But believe it or not Katrina could have been much much worse. There is a huge difference between cat 5 and cat 3.
If you move Katrina 50 miles west of where it made landfall, damage goes up exponentially in NOLA. Make it an actual cat 5 at landfall and buildings start failing.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:50 pm to otowntiger
As bad as Katrina was, I'm amazed at how many people don't realize it was a best case scenario as far as how it went down. She was the 20,000 dead New Orleans killer that everyone had talked about for years and the wobble East and die down before landfall kept her from being that.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:52 pm
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