re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Larry Cosgrove is being very irresponsible and just trying to forecast a worst possible scenario. It is almost always wrong. There is not a single model to show what he mentions. Maybe they will eventually head that far west but they could also show it curving back out to sea and never hitting land at all.

In his defense, he may be thinking the models are breaking down the ridge too soon which they do often do. However, he could mention that possibility in far less terrifying ways.