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Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:25 am to rds dc
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:25 am to rds dc
RDS, that 10% area in the northern gulf looks a lot more active today too.
If you have a minute, why is something like that less likely to develop (despite what looks like a lot of "stuff" there for an amateur) while a naked LLC from yesterday was still considered likely to become something?
If you have a minute, why is something like that less likely to develop (despite what looks like a lot of "stuff" there for an amateur) while a naked LLC from yesterday was still considered likely to become something?
2
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:27 am to Pettifogger
Any updates on projected path?
I can't understand any of the jargon. I need arrows and lines.
I can't understand any of the jargon. I need arrows and lines.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:31 am to StrongBackWeakMind
quote:
I can't understand any of the jargon. I need arrows and lines.
quote:Name checks out.
StrongBackWeakMind
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:31 am to ctiger69
I just want to say thanks to all our weather posters for keeping is updated. This is always the first place I check for anything.
Also, this may have been answered in the long flood thread but what do you do supernovasky?
Also, this may have been answered in the long flood thread but what do you do supernovasky?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:32 am to StrongBackWeakMind
We're a few days away from getting a semi accurate path. As you've seen this thing has been pegged everywhere from Mexico to heading north into the Atlantic. They can't get an accurate path until (if) it actually forms. The question now is will it form. If that happens then they'll have a better idea of where it's going
This post was edited on 8/26/16 at 10:33 am
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:33 am to TigerstuckinMS
Damn dude. You crushed that joke.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:33 am to Pettifogger
quote:
If you have a minute, why is something like that less likely to develop (despite what looks like a lot of "stuff" there for an amateur) while a naked LLC from yesterday was still considered likely to become something?
Time. That area of disturbance is supposed to move into Texas, so development from an unorganized system in that short of a time is unlikely.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:33 am to Riseupfromtherubble
quote:I gotcha. I was just hoping that 24 hours had cleared it up some.
We're a few days away from getting a semi accurate path. As you've seen this thing has been pegged everywhere from Mexico to heading north into the Atlantic. They can't get an accurate path until (if) it actually forms. The question now is will it form. If that happens then they'll have a better idea of where it's going
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:34 am to Aspercel
quote:
99L - Potential Gulf Threat
I just want to say thanks to all our weather posters for keeping is updated. This is always the first place I check for anything.
Also, this may have been answered in the long flood thread but what do you do supernovasky?
I'm a statistician that really loves weather :)
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:34 am to Aspercel
quote:Ditto.
I just want to say thanks to all our weather posters for keeping is updated.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:38 am to supernovasky
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:44 am to supernovasky
Your hurricane structure diagram.
Northern hemisphere. Winds entering a LP area, due to Coreolis, cause a counterclockwise rotation. Due to location on earth's surface are "deflected" to the right which sets-up this rotation; my understanding anyway. Your diagram indicates "storm rotation clockwise".
Is this in reference to the cirrus outflow shield?
I'm confused?
Northern hemisphere. Winds entering a LP area, due to Coreolis, cause a counterclockwise rotation. Due to location on earth's surface are "deflected" to the right which sets-up this rotation; my understanding anyway. Your diagram indicates "storm rotation clockwise".
Is this in reference to the cirrus outflow shield?
I'm confused?
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:48 am to larry289
quote:
99L - Potential Gulf Threat
Your hurricane structure diagram.
Northern hemisphere. Winds entering a LP area, due to Coreolis, cause a counterclockwise rotation. Due to location on earth's surface are "deflected" to the right which sets-up this rotation; my understanding anyway. Your diagram indicates "storm rotation clockwise".
Is this in reference to the cirrus outflow shield?
I'm confused?
Notice that the low level winds are entering counterclockwise in the correct direction. The upper outflow exits in a clockwise direction.
This is actually why you might hear some people say, "models place an anticyclone over it" in reference to it potentially strengthening at times. Upper level anticyclonic flow helps vent the storm.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:49 am to larry289
surface low rotates counterclockwise, outflow aloft rotates clockwise.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:49 am to larry289
I think it is just a typo. The red arrows clearly show counterclockwise rotation so I'd imagine it was a holdover from a diagram on the southern hemisphere.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:53 am to slackster
Anyone want to give a quick update? Still need to wait a few days before we know anything? This thing just needs to die already that would be the best thing for everyone.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:53 am to slackster
Based on my understanding of hemisphere wind flows, I think "a typo" for this diagram must be correct. The diagram properly shows the lower and midlevel counter clockwise rotation of the storm for northern hemisphere, but not the "storm rotation" comment.
I did learn something new in regard to how shear affects outflow.
I did learn something new in regard to how shear affects outflow.
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:56 am to rds dc
100 pages
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:58 am to chicano12
Still too early to predict that with any certainty 
Posted on 8/26/16 at 10:59 am to deuce985
quote:
Anyone want to give a quick update?
System is toast. Sorry for the let down. This will not become a hurricane and likely not even a tropical storm. Go back to your business. So many disappointed I'm sure.
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