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Posted on 8/1/16 at 9:08 pm to
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28907 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 9:08 pm to
Agree. Conferences will crumble slowly back to 7-8 teams. Second scenario is some of the bigger players go independent using funds from major TV endorsements to find travel etc.

I think the most dangerous aspect is they're basing expansion entirely too much on one sport.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71419 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

I think the most dangerous aspect is they're basing expansion entirely too much on one sport.




Better model for them might be superconferences for football, traditional conferences for MBB, and tight geographic conferences for nonrevenue sports.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8020 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

I think the most dangerous aspect is they're basing expansion entirely too much on one sport.


Long-term, that certainly is one of the bigger threats, if not the biggest.

I think the larger short-term threat is the disruption of current cable TV model. Subscriber numbers for the bigger conference networks (namely, the SEC and B1G) are pretty healthy at the moment, but I just haven't seen any market research data that's able to un-bundle conference network subscriptions and conference contracts from general cable contracts. If it's out there, I'd like to see it - it seems like something right up WSJ's alley. The conferences are already pre-empting this a bit by putting more and more live content on the conference networks, but quality of competition and brand - and not market size - still matter a great deal in this field.

You also have secondary threats like generational shifts in sports-watching methods, further demographic shifts, and attitudinal shifts regarding university finances.
This post was edited on 8/1/16 at 11:31 pm
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